Official meteorological observations from Russian agencies confirm that Moscow's maximum air temperature on August 13 reached 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and a cool maritime air mass that suppressed daytime heating under typical late-summer continental conditions. This aligns with real-time station data and model verification showing limited solar insolation and afternoon peaks no higher than this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% reflects verified post-event readings rather than forecasts, with skin-in-the-game positioning eliminating residual uncertainty. While near-certain, rare scenarios such as revised station calibrations, inclusion of urban heat island effects from alternative monitoring sites, or official reanalysis adjustments could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though such changes remain highly improbable given multiple independent verification sources.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$50,337 Обс.
$50,337 Обс.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$50,337 Обс.
$50,337 Обс.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official meteorological observations from Russian agencies confirm that Moscow's maximum air temperature on August 13 reached 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and a cool maritime air mass that suppressed daytime heating under typical late-summer continental conditions. This aligns with real-time station data and model verification showing limited solar insolation and afternoon peaks no higher than this threshold. Trader consensus at 100% reflects verified post-event readings rather than forecasts, with skin-in-the-game positioning eliminating residual uncertainty. While near-certain, rare scenarios such as revised station calibrations, inclusion of urban heat island effects from alternative monitoring sites, or official reanalysis adjustments could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though such changes remain highly improbable given multiple independent verification sources.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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