KMA short-range forecasts for August 14 project a daytime maximum near 33–34°C in the Seoul-Incheon area under mostly cloudy conditions and 20% rain chance, following an early-August heatwave that set national records above 42°C. Persistent high humidity and limited overnight cooling keep baseline temperatures elevated, yet increasing cloud cover and possible isolated showers introduce downward uncertainty in peak readings. Official Incheon station data will resolve the market, with historical August averages around 30–31°C providing context. Traders appear to weigh forecast model spreads and potential steering-pattern shifts, concentrating implied probabilities on 30–32°C outcomes ahead of final KMA updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
31°C 40%
30°C 28%
32°C 25%
33°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
28%
31°C
40%
32°C
25%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 28%
32°C 25%
33°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$302 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$207 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$809 Обс.
1%
29°C
$435 Обс.
5%
30°C
$1,288 Обс.
28%
31°C
$1,905 Обс.
40%
32°C
$974 Обс.
25%
33°C
$688 Обс.
5%
34°C
$730 Обс.
4%
35°C
$323 Обс.
1%
36°C or higher
$481 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.KMA short-range forecasts for August 14 project a daytime maximum near 33–34°C in the Seoul-Incheon area under mostly cloudy conditions and 20% rain chance, following an early-August heatwave that set national records above 42°C. Persistent high humidity and limited overnight cooling keep baseline temperatures elevated, yet increasing cloud cover and possible isolated showers introduce downward uncertainty in peak readings. Official Incheon station data will resolve the market, with historical August averages around 30–31°C providing context. Traders appear to weigh forecast model spreads and potential steering-pattern shifts, concentrating implied probabilities on 30–32°C outcomes ahead of final KMA updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,144Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.KMA short-range forecasts for August 14 project a daytime maximum near 33–34°C in the Seoul-Incheon area under mostly cloudy conditions and 20% rain chance, following an early-August heatwave that set national records above 42°C. Persistent high humidity and limited overnight cooling keep baseline temperatures elevated, yet increasing cloud cover and possible isolated showers introduce downward uncertainty in peak readings. Official Incheon station data will resolve the market, with historical August averages around 30–31°C providing context. Traders appear to weigh forecast model spreads and potential steering-pattern shifts, concentrating implied probabilities on 30–32°C outcomes ahead of final KMA updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,144Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...KMA short-range forecasts for August 14 project a daytime maximum near 33–34°C in the Seoul-Incheon area under mostly cloudy conditions and 20% rain chance, following an early-August heatwave that set national records above 42°C. Persistent high humidity and limited overnight cooling keep baseline temperatures elevated, yet increasing cloud cover and possible isolated showers introduce downward uncertainty in peak readings. Official Incheon station data will resolve the market, with historical August averages around 30–31°C providing context. Traders appear to weigh forecast model spreads and potential steering-pattern shifts, concentrating implied probabilities on 30–32°C outcomes ahead of final KMA updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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