Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime highs in Wuhan of 28–30°C on August 14 amid overcast skies and passing showers, aligning with market-implied probabilities concentrated on 27–29°C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in cloud cover, humidity-driven instability, and steering patterns within the East Asian monsoon regime, which can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads reflect typical model divergence at this lead time, with historical August climatology showing frequent 30°C+ readings tempered by recent precipitation trends that favor slightly lower maxima.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 14?
28°C 28%
29°C 23%
27°C 22%
26°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
22%
28°C
28%
29°C
23%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 28%
29°C 23%
27°C 22%
26°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
24°C or below
$879 Обс.
1%
25°C
$235 Обс.
3%
26°C
$850 Обс.
8%
27°C
$1,838 Обс.
22%
28°C
$475 Обс.
28%
29°C
$3,355 Обс.
23%
30°C
$362 Обс.
6%
31°C
$585 Обс.
3%
32°C
$259 Обс.
1%
33°C
$328 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$323 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime highs in Wuhan of 28–30°C on August 14 amid overcast skies and passing showers, aligning with market-implied probabilities concentrated on 27–29°C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in cloud cover, humidity-driven instability, and steering patterns within the East Asian monsoon regime, which can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads reflect typical model divergence at this lead time, with historical August climatology showing frequent 30°C+ readings tempered by recent precipitation trends that favor slightly lower maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,489Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime highs in Wuhan of 28–30°C on August 14 amid overcast skies and passing showers, aligning with market-implied probabilities concentrated on 27–29°C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in cloud cover, humidity-driven instability, and steering patterns within the East Asian monsoon regime, which can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads reflect typical model divergence at this lead time, with historical August climatology showing frequent 30°C+ readings tempered by recent precipitation trends that favor slightly lower maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,489Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate daytime highs in Wuhan of 28–30°C on August 14 amid overcast skies and passing showers, aligning with market-implied probabilities concentrated on 27–29°C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in cloud cover, humidity-driven instability, and steering patterns within the East Asian monsoon regime, which can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads reflect typical model divergence at this lead time, with historical August climatology showing frequent 30°C+ readings tempered by recent precipitation trends that favor slightly lower maxima.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання