Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from global ensembles, indicate afternoon highs in Zhengzhou will reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on August 24 under seasonal summer insolation, high humidity, and limited cloud cover. Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate produces average August daily highs near 31–33 °C, with recent days showing comparable warmth despite scattered showers. Trader consensus for 32 °C or higher at 100 % implied probability therefore reflects model agreement on sustained heat rather than any single extreme event. Realistic challenges include heavier-than-forecast convective rainfall or increased cloudiness that could suppress the daily maximum below the threshold, though such revisions remain unlikely given the short remaining forecast window and stable steering patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
32°C or higher 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$225 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$205 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$205 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$205 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$200 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$757 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$426 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$391 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$326 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from global ensembles, indicate afternoon highs in Zhengzhou will reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on August 24 under seasonal summer insolation, high humidity, and limited cloud cover. Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate produces average August daily highs near 31–33 °C, with recent days showing comparable warmth despite scattered showers. Trader consensus for 32 °C or higher at 100 % implied probability therefore reflects model agreement on sustained heat rather than any single extreme event. Realistic challenges include heavier-than-forecast convective rainfall or increased cloudiness that could suppress the daily maximum below the threshold, though such revisions remain unlikely given the short remaining forecast window and stable steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,190Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from global ensembles, indicate afternoon highs in Zhengzhou will reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on August 24 under seasonal summer insolation, high humidity, and limited cloud cover. Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate produces average August daily highs near 31–33 °C, with recent days showing comparable warmth despite scattered showers. Trader consensus for 32 °C or higher at 100 % implied probability therefore reflects model agreement on sustained heat rather than any single extreme event. Realistic challenges include heavier-than-forecast convective rainfall or increased cloudiness that could suppress the daily maximum below the threshold, though such revisions remain unlikely given the short remaining forecast window and stable steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,190Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from global ensembles, indicate afternoon highs in Zhengzhou will reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on August 24 under seasonal summer insolation, high humidity, and limited cloud cover. Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate produces average August daily highs near 31–33 °C, with recent days showing comparable warmth despite scattered showers. Trader consensus for 32 °C or higher at 100 % implied probability therefore reflects model agreement on sustained heat rather than any single extreme event. Realistic challenges include heavier-than-forecast convective rainfall or increased cloudiness that could suppress the daily maximum below the threshold, though such revisions remain unlikely given the short remaining forecast window and stable steering patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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