Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou indicate minimum temperatures around 25–27°C on August 24 amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit overnight radiative cooling and maintain elevated lows relative to clear-sky conditions. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports this pattern, with no incoming cold front or significant dry-air advection to drive sharper drops. Trader consensus favoring 25°C or higher reflects these factors and historical late-August baselines, while probabilities clustered near 21–23°C account for potential localized variations or model underestimates of clearing. Final resolution hinges on official station readings expected shortly after midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
21°C 89%
15°C or below 47%
16°C 47%
18°C 47%
15°C or below
47%
16°C
47%
17°C
22%
18°C
47%
19°C
<1%
20°C
47%
21°C
89%
22°C
1%
23°C
42%
24°C
45%
25°C or higher
54%
21°C 89%
15°C or below 47%
16°C 47%
18°C 47%
15°C or below
47%
16°C
47%
17°C
22%
18°C
47%
19°C
<1%
20°C
47%
21°C
89%
22°C
1%
23°C
42%
24°C
45%
25°C or higher
54%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou indicate minimum temperatures around 25–27°C on August 24 amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, which limit overnight radiative cooling and maintain elevated lows relative to clear-sky conditions. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports this pattern, with no incoming cold front or significant dry-air advection to drive sharper drops. Trader consensus favoring 25°C or higher reflects these factors and historical late-August baselines, while probabilities clustered near 21–23°C account for potential localized variations or model underestimates of clearing. Final resolution hinges on official station readings expected shortly after midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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