Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters consistently moderates daytime maxima, while the August rainy season brings extensive cloud cover and convective afternoon showers that limit solar heating and suppress temperatures. Historical climatology shows typical highs clustered between 22–24°C, with the current market heavily favoring 22°C and 23°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 70%. Recent tropical wave activity and ongoing monsoon patterns have reinforced these moderate conditions, aligning with official seasonal baselines from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark rather than any anomalous warming or clearing trends. Traders are thus pricing the most probable resolution within the narrow central band supported by both model consensus and long-term observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
23°C 43%
22°C 28%
24°C 13%
21°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
28%
23°C
43%
24°C
13%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
23°C 43%
22°C 28%
24°C 13%
21°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
$784 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$224 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$160 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$24 Обс.
2%
20°C
$175 Обс.
3%
21°C
$229 Обс.
10%
22°C
$1,929 Обс.
28%
23°C
$279 Обс.
43%
24°C
$528 Обс.
13%
25°C
$301 Обс.
3%
26°C or higher
$472 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters consistently moderates daytime maxima, while the August rainy season brings extensive cloud cover and convective afternoon showers that limit solar heating and suppress temperatures. Historical climatology shows typical highs clustered between 22–24°C, with the current market heavily favoring 22°C and 23°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 70%. Recent tropical wave activity and ongoing monsoon patterns have reinforced these moderate conditions, aligning with official seasonal baselines from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark rather than any anomalous warming or clearing trends. Traders are thus pricing the most probable resolution within the narrow central band supported by both model consensus and long-term observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,105Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters consistently moderates daytime maxima, while the August rainy season brings extensive cloud cover and convective afternoon showers that limit solar heating and suppress temperatures. Historical climatology shows typical highs clustered between 22–24°C, with the current market heavily favoring 22°C and 23°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 70%. Recent tropical wave activity and ongoing monsoon patterns have reinforced these moderate conditions, aligning with official seasonal baselines from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark rather than any anomalous warming or clearing trends. Traders are thus pricing the most probable resolution within the narrow central band supported by both model consensus and long-term observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,105Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters consistently moderates daytime maxima, while the August rainy season brings extensive cloud cover and convective afternoon showers that limit solar heating and suppress temperatures. Historical climatology shows typical highs clustered between 22–24°C, with the current market heavily favoring 22°C and 23°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 70%. Recent tropical wave activity and ongoing monsoon patterns have reinforced these moderate conditions, aligning with official seasonal baselines from sources like AccuWeather and WeatherSpark rather than any anomalous warming or clearing trends. Traders are thus pricing the most probable resolution within the narrow central band supported by both model consensus and long-term observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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