Current forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 25 will likely settle between 14–17°C, driving the closely matched market probabilities around 15–17°C. Persistent cloud cover and moderating southwesterly flow are limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25°C, while dew points in the mid-teens support modest overnight drops. Model spreads reflect minor variations in timing of any clearing and wind speeds, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August climatology at Pearson Airport shows average lows near 15–16°C, providing context for the tight clustering of trader-implied odds. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will further refine the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on August 25?
12°C 50%
16°C 30%
15°C 27%
17°C 27%
11°C or below
12%
12°C
50%
13°C
15%
14°C
26%
15°C
27%
16°C
30%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C or higher
1%
12°C 50%
16°C 30%
15°C 27%
17°C 27%
11°C or below
12%
12°C
50%
13°C
15%
14°C
26%
15°C
27%
16°C
30%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 25 will likely settle between 14–17°C, driving the closely matched market probabilities around 15–17°C. Persistent cloud cover and moderating southwesterly flow are limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25°C, while dew points in the mid-teens support modest overnight drops. Model spreads reflect minor variations in timing of any clearing and wind speeds, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August climatology at Pearson Airport shows average lows near 15–16°C, providing context for the tight clustering of trader-implied odds. Updated model runs and official guidance expected overnight will further refine the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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