**Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) for Toronto on August 24, 2026, center the daily minimum temperature at 14°C, driving the 97% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent cloud cover from showers and light variable winds limit nighttime radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect and boundary-layer conditions keep the low from dropping further. Current observations at Pearson Airport around 15°C early in the day align with model guidance showing modest cooling overnight under mostly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong consensus across official agency products and ensemble runs, which historically verify well for late-August Toronto lows near the 15°C climatological baseline when similar patterns prevail. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing that enhances cooling below 14°C, timing shifts in any frontal passage, or minor station-to-station variations in the official reporting network that could push the recorded minimum to 13°C or 15°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
14°C 99%
12°C 46%
11°C 16%
10°C 10%
$2,356 Обс.
$2,356 Обс.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
10%
11°C
16%
12°C
46%
13°C
2%
14°C
82%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99%
12°C 46%
11°C 16%
10°C 10%
$2,356 Обс.
$2,356 Обс.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$257 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$61 Обс.
10%
11°C
$157 Обс.
16%
12°C
$80 Обс.
46%
13°C
$30 Обс.
2%
14°C
$250 Обс.
82%
15°C
$336 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$421 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$200 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$443 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$120 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) for Toronto on August 24, 2026, center the daily minimum temperature at 14°C, driving the 97% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent cloud cover from showers and light variable winds limit nighttime radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect and boundary-layer conditions keep the low from dropping further. Current observations at Pearson Airport around 15°C early in the day align with model guidance showing modest cooling overnight under mostly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong consensus across official agency products and ensemble runs, which historically verify well for late-August Toronto lows near the 15°C climatological baseline when similar patterns prevail. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing that enhances cooling below 14°C, timing shifts in any frontal passage, or minor station-to-station variations in the official reporting network that could push the recorded minimum to 13°C or 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,356Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) for Toronto on August 24, 2026, center the daily minimum temperature at 14°C, driving the 97% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent cloud cover from showers and light variable winds limit nighttime radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect and boundary-layer conditions keep the low from dropping further. Current observations at Pearson Airport around 15°C early in the day align with model guidance showing modest cooling overnight under mostly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong consensus across official agency products and ensemble runs, which historically verify well for late-August Toronto lows near the 15°C climatological baseline when similar patterns prevail. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing that enhances cooling below 14°C, timing shifts in any frontal passage, or minor station-to-station variations in the official reporting network that could push the recorded minimum to 13°C or 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,356Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) for Toronto on August 24, 2026, center the daily minimum temperature at 14°C, driving the 97% market-implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent cloud cover from showers and light variable winds limit nighttime radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect and boundary-layer conditions keep the low from dropping further. Current observations at Pearson Airport around 15°C early in the day align with model guidance showing modest cooling overnight under mostly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong consensus across official agency products and ensemble runs, which historically verify well for late-August Toronto lows near the 15°C climatological baseline when similar patterns prevail. Realistic challenges include unexpected sky clearing that enhances cooling below 14°C, timing shifts in any frontal passage, or minor station-to-station variations in the official reporting network that could push the recorded minimum to 13°C or 15°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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