Trader consensus centers on persistent high pressure and southerly flow under the Texas heat dome, which limits overnight radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures near 74–77°F in Austin on August 25. Official NWS guidance and ensemble models indicate mostly clear skies with lows around 75°F, consistent with seasonal averages near 76°F and recent observations of 78°F under similar conditions. Minor divergences in dew-point forecasts and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering across 72–77°F bins, while stronger winds or unexpected moisture would favor the lower end. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs on August 24–25 will refine these details ahead of the overnight period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Austin on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 25?
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
69°F or below
$85 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$1,359 Обс.
7%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
26%
80-81°F
$20 Обс.
25%
82-83°F
$15 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$25 Обс.
3%
86-87°F
$10 Обс.
<1%
88°F or higher
$150 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on persistent high pressure and southerly flow under the Texas heat dome, which limits overnight radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures near 74–77°F in Austin on August 25. Official NWS guidance and ensemble models indicate mostly clear skies with lows around 75°F, consistent with seasonal averages near 76°F and recent observations of 78°F under similar conditions. Minor divergences in dew-point forecasts and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering across 72–77°F bins, while stronger winds or unexpected moisture would favor the lower end. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs on August 24–25 will refine these details ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,664Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on persistent high pressure and southerly flow under the Texas heat dome, which limits overnight radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures near 74–77°F in Austin on August 25. Official NWS guidance and ensemble models indicate mostly clear skies with lows around 75°F, consistent with seasonal averages near 76°F and recent observations of 78°F under similar conditions. Minor divergences in dew-point forecasts and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering across 72–77°F bins, while stronger winds or unexpected moisture would favor the lower end. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs on August 24–25 will refine these details ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,664Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on persistent high pressure and southerly flow under the Texas heat dome, which limits overnight radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures near 74–77°F in Austin on August 25. Official NWS guidance and ensemble models indicate mostly clear skies with lows around 75°F, consistent with seasonal averages near 76°F and recent observations of 78°F under similar conditions. Minor divergences in dew-point forecasts and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering across 72–77°F bins, while stronger winds or unexpected moisture would favor the lower end. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs on August 24–25 will refine these details ahead of the overnight period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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