Traders have driven the 32°C-or-higher bracket to 100% implied probability because official forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA and Chinese meteorological agencies project daytime maxima of 32–34°C for Zhengzhou on August 25 under persistent late-summer subtropical conditions. These models incorporate typical August climatology, with average highs near 32°C, combined with current observations of hot, humid air masses and limited cooling from scattered showers or light easterly winds. The market reflects high confidence in exceeding the threshold based on model consensus and real-time data. An unexpected surge in cloud cover, heavier precipitation, or a rapid frontal passage could suppress the peak below 32°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given the stability of the steering patterns and heat content in the region.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
НОВЕ
$12,196 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,196 Обс.
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
НОВЕ
$12,196 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,196 Обс.
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$3,312 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$2,189 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$2,285 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$485 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,068 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$630 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$377 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$216 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$631 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$650 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$354 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have driven the 32°C-or-higher bracket to 100% implied probability because official forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA and Chinese meteorological agencies project daytime maxima of 32–34°C for Zhengzhou on August 25 under persistent late-summer subtropical conditions. These models incorporate typical August climatology, with average highs near 32°C, combined with current observations of hot, humid air masses and limited cooling from scattered showers or light easterly winds. The market reflects high confidence in exceeding the threshold based on model consensus and real-time data. An unexpected surge in cloud cover, heavier precipitation, or a rapid frontal passage could suppress the peak below 32°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given the stability of the steering patterns and heat content in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,196Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have driven the 32°C-or-higher bracket to 100% implied probability because official forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA and Chinese meteorological agencies project daytime maxima of 32–34°C for Zhengzhou on August 25 under persistent late-summer subtropical conditions. These models incorporate typical August climatology, with average highs near 32°C, combined with current observations of hot, humid air masses and limited cooling from scattered showers or light easterly winds. The market reflects high confidence in exceeding the threshold based on model consensus and real-time data. An unexpected surge in cloud cover, heavier precipitation, or a rapid frontal passage could suppress the peak below 32°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given the stability of the steering patterns and heat content in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,196Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have driven the 32°C-or-higher bracket to 100% implied probability because official forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA and Chinese meteorological agencies project daytime maxima of 32–34°C for Zhengzhou on August 25 under persistent late-summer subtropical conditions. These models incorporate typical August climatology, with average highs near 32°C, combined with current observations of hot, humid air masses and limited cooling from scattered showers or light easterly winds. The market reflects high confidence in exceeding the threshold based on model consensus and real-time data. An unexpected surge in cloud cover, heavier precipitation, or a rapid frontal passage could suppress the peak below 32°C, though such deviations remain low-probability given the stability of the steering patterns and heat content in the region.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання