Recent hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and elevated inflation readings have driven the 5-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.53% as of September 2, 2026, up over 80 basis points year-over-year amid expectations of at least one policy rate hike this year. Persistent core PCE above 3%, geopolitical tensions boosting energy prices, and heavy Treasury issuance have lifted term premia and real yields while reducing prospects for near-term easing. Traders are monitoring the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment data, and any escalation in Middle East developments for further moves in the intermediate sector.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
НОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
4.90%
38%
4.83%
38%
4.78%
50%
4.73%
50%
4.70%
51%
4.67%
51%
4.64%
51%
4.61%
51%
4.58%
63%
$0.00 Обс.
4.90%
$0 Обс.
38%
4.83%
$0 Обс.
38%
4.78%
$0 Обс.
50%
4.73%
$0 Обс.
50%
4.70%
$0 Обс.
51%
4.67%
$0 Обс.
51%
4.64%
$0 Обс.
51%
4.61%
$0 Обс.
51%
4.58%
$0 Обс.
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and elevated inflation readings have driven the 5-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.53% as of September 2, 2026, up over 80 basis points year-over-year amid expectations of at least one policy rate hike this year. Persistent core PCE above 3%, geopolitical tensions boosting energy prices, and heavy Treasury issuance have lifted term premia and real yields while reducing prospects for near-term easing. Traders are monitoring the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment data, and any escalation in Middle East developments for further moves in the intermediate sector.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and elevated inflation readings have driven the 5-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.53% as of September 2, 2026, up over 80 basis points year-over-year amid expectations of at least one policy rate hike this year. Persistent core PCE above 3%, geopolitical tensions boosting energy prices, and heavy Treasury issuance have lifted term premia and real yields while reducing prospects for near-term easing. Traders are monitoring the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment data, and any escalation in Middle East developments for further moves in the intermediate sector.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and elevated inflation readings have driven the 5-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.53% as of September 2, 2026, up over 80 basis points year-over-year amid expectations of at least one policy rate hike this year. Persistent core PCE above 3%, geopolitical tensions boosting energy prices, and heavy Treasury issuance have lifted term premia and real yields while reducing prospects for near-term easing. Traders are monitoring the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment data, and any escalation in Middle East developments for further moves in the intermediate sector.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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