Skip to main content

Щоб торгувати в США, перейдіть на polymarket.us

icon for How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Економ·Тарифи Fed

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?

icon for How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Економ·Тарифи Fed

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?

Sep 30

Sep 30

Dec 31

Sep 30

Sep 30

Dec 31

НОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Обс.

Polymarket

Below 4.76%

$0 Обс.

50%

Below 4.73%

$0 Обс.

50%

Below 4.70%

$0 Обс.

50%

Below 4.67%

$0 Обс.

50%

Below 4.64%

$0 Обс.

50%

Below 4.61%

$0 Обс.

49%

Below 4.56%

$0 Обс.

49%

Below 4.51%

$0 Обс.

49%

Below 4.45%

$0 Обс.

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and other officials, combined with elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.78% as of September 3, 2026—near its highest levels since late 2023. Traders are pricing in a roughly two-thirds probability of a 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, reflecting sticky inflation readings and fiscal supply concerns. Softer-than-expected August private payrolls data and upcoming nonfarm payrolls could ease rate-hike odds and support lower yields, while persistent energy price pressures or stronger labor figures would likely cap any decline. Market-implied odds reflect real capital at risk assessing these near-term data and policy catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and other officials, combined with elevated oil prices amid Middle East tensions, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.78% as of September 3, 2026—near its highest levels since late 2023. Traders are pricing in a roughly two-thirds probability of a 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, reflecting sticky inflation readings and fiscal supply concerns. Softer-than-expected August private payrolls data and upcoming nonfarm payrolls could ease rate-hike odds and support lower yields, while persistent energy price pressures or stronger labor figures would likely cap any decline. Market-implied odds reflect real capital at risk assessing these near-term data and policy catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

Пов'язане

icon for Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.82% in September?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.82% in September?

51%
icon for Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?

62%
icon for Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.43% in September?

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.43% in September?

51%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Below 4.76%» з 50%, далі «Below 4.73%» з 50%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 2, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?» — «Below 4.76%» з 50%. Наступний — «Below 4.73%» з 50%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.