Recent global seismicity rates tracked by the USGS place the typical weekly count of magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes near 10–15, consistent with annual M5–5.9 totals of roughly 1,500–2,000 events and the Gutenberg-Richter relationship. Trader emphasis on >9 outcomes at 43.5% reflects this baseline plus recent clustering, including the June 8 magnitude 7.8 Philippines mainshock and aftershocks plus a June 4 magnitude 5.7 California offshore sequence, which can elevate short-term rates above Poisson expectations. Natural variability, lack of reliable short-term forecasts, and ongoing monitoring of active subduction zones keep probabilities spread across 6–9 counts while underscoring the inherent uncertainty in any given seven-day window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?
>9 44%
9 12%
≤5 12%
8 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 21, 2026
≤5
12%
6
10%
7
11%
8
11%
9
12%
>9
44%
>9 44%
9 12%
≤5 12%
8 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 21, 2026
≤5
$198 Обс.
12%
6
$40 Обс.
10%
7
$42 Обс.
11%
8
$40 Обс.
11%
9
$58 Обс.
12%
>9
$268 Обс.
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent global seismicity rates tracked by the USGS place the typical weekly count of magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes near 10–15, consistent with annual M5–5.9 totals of roughly 1,500–2,000 events and the Gutenberg-Richter relationship. Trader emphasis on >9 outcomes at 43.5% reflects this baseline plus recent clustering, including the June 8 magnitude 7.8 Philippines mainshock and aftershocks plus a June 4 magnitude 5.7 California offshore sequence, which can elevate short-term rates above Poisson expectations. Natural variability, lack of reliable short-term forecasts, and ongoing monitoring of active subduction zones keep probabilities spread across 6–9 counts while underscoring the inherent uncertainty in any given seven-day window.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$647Дата завершення
Jun 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent global seismicity rates tracked by the USGS place the typical weekly count of magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes near 10–15, consistent with annual M5–5.9 totals of roughly 1,500–2,000 events and the Gutenberg-Richter relationship. Trader emphasis on >9 outcomes at 43.5% reflects this baseline plus recent clustering, including the June 8 magnitude 7.8 Philippines mainshock and aftershocks plus a June 4 magnitude 5.7 California offshore sequence, which can elevate short-term rates above Poisson expectations. Natural variability, lack of reliable short-term forecasts, and ongoing monitoring of active subduction zones keep probabilities spread across 6–9 counts while underscoring the inherent uncertainty in any given seven-day window.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Обсяг
$647Дата завершення
Jun 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global seismicity rates tracked by the USGS place the typical weekly count of magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes near 10–15, consistent with annual M5–5.9 totals of roughly 1,500–2,000 events and the Gutenberg-Richter relationship. Trader emphasis on >9 outcomes at 43.5% reflects this baseline plus recent clustering, including the June 8 magnitude 7.8 Philippines mainshock and aftershocks plus a June 4 magnitude 5.7 California offshore sequence, which can elevate short-term rates above Poisson expectations. Natural variability, lack of reliable short-term forecasts, and ongoing monitoring of active subduction zones keep probabilities spread across 6–9 counts while underscoring the inherent uncertainty in any given seven-day window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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