Trader consensus assigns a 68.2% probability to just 1-100 Trump Gold Cards being sold in 2026, reflecting the program's limited progress since its December 2025 launch. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick testified on April 23 that only one applicant had been approved despite earlier projections of tens of thousands of sales and over $100 billion in revenue. The $1 million contribution requirement plus $15,000 processing fee faces competition from lower-cost EB-5 investor visas and ongoing questions over expedited processing timelines. With seven months remaining in the calendar year and no announced policy adjustments or marketing surges, traders see few catalysts capable of shifting volumes into higher ranges before official year-end figures determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
1-100 68.3%
101-1k 13.5%
>100k 8.8%
2.5k-5k 4.1%
$235,009 Обс.
$235,009 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
68%
101-1k
13%
1k-2.5k
4%
2.5k-5k
4%
5k-10k
4%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
9%
1-100 68.3%
101-1k 13.5%
>100k 8.8%
2.5k-5k 4.1%
$235,009 Обс.
$235,009 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
$15,587 Обс.
68%
101-1k
$8,057 Обс.
13%
1k-2.5k
$9,286 Обс.
4%
2.5k-5k
$7,931 Обс.
4%
5k-10k
$9,174 Обс.
4%
10k-25k
$110,794 Обс.
2%
25k-100k
$7,129 Обс.
2%
>100k
$22,625 Обс.
9%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns a 68.2% probability to just 1-100 Trump Gold Cards being sold in 2026, reflecting the program's limited progress since its December 2025 launch. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick testified on April 23 that only one applicant had been approved despite earlier projections of tens of thousands of sales and over $100 billion in revenue. The $1 million contribution requirement plus $15,000 processing fee faces competition from lower-cost EB-5 investor visas and ongoing questions over expedited processing timelines. With seven months remaining in the calendar year and no announced policy adjustments or marketing surges, traders see few catalysts capable of shifting volumes into higher ranges before official year-end figures determine resolution.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Обсяг
$235,009Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns a 68.2% probability to just 1-100 Trump Gold Cards being sold in 2026, reflecting the program's limited progress since its December 2025 launch. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick testified on April 23 that only one applicant had been approved despite earlier projections of tens of thousands of sales and over $100 billion in revenue. The $1 million contribution requirement plus $15,000 processing fee faces competition from lower-cost EB-5 investor visas and ongoing questions over expedited processing timelines. With seven months remaining in the calendar year and no announced policy adjustments or marketing surges, traders see few catalysts capable of shifting volumes into higher ranges before official year-end figures determine resolution.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$235,009Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns a 68.2% probability to just 1-100 Trump Gold Cards being sold in 2026, reflecting the program's limited progress since its December 2025 launch. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick testified on April 23 that only one applicant had been approved despite earlier projections of tens of thousands of sales and over $100 billion in revenue. The $1 million contribution requirement plus $15,000 processing fee faces competition from lower-cost EB-5 investor visas and ongoing questions over expedited processing timelines. With seven months remaining in the calendar year and no announced policy adjustments or marketing surges, traders see few catalysts capable of shifting volumes into higher ranges before official year-end figures determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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