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Геополітика·Трамп

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

icon for How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
Геополітика·Трамп

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

1-100 68.3%

101-1k 18.2%

>100k 5.8%

2.5k-5k 4.1%

Polymarket

$235,107 Обс.

1-100 68.3%

101-1k 18.2%

>100k 5.8%

2.5k-5k 4.1%

Polymarket

$235,107 Обс.

1-100

$15,587 Обс.

68%

101-1k

$8,065 Обс.

14%

1k-2.5k

$9,321 Обс.

3%

2.5k-5k

$7,931 Обс.

4%

5k-10k

$9,193 Обс.

3%

10k-25k

$110,794 Обс.

2%

25k-100k

$7,129 Обс.

2%

>100k

$22,660 Обс.

6%

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Recent developments in the Trump Gold Card visa program, including Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's April 2026 congressional testimony confirming just one approval with hundreds queued amid ongoing vetting, have reinforced trader expectations of minimal 2026 sales. Court filings reveal only 338 total applicants and 165 processing-fee payments since the late-2025 launch, far below initial projections of tens of thousands. Legal challenges and implementation delays continue to constrain volume, positioning the 1-100 outcome as the clear leader in current pricing. Market participants weigh these verified bottlenecks against the possibility of accelerated approvals later in the year.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$235,107
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Recent developments in the Trump Gold Card visa program, including Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's April 2026 congressional testimony confirming just one approval with hundreds queued amid ongoing vetting, have reinforced trader expectations of minimal 2026 sales. Court filings reveal only 338 total applicants and 165 processing-fee payments since the late-2025 launch, far below initial projections of tens of thousands. Legal challenges and implementation delays continue to constrain volume, positioning the 1-100 outcome as the clear leader in current pricing. Market participants weigh these verified bottlenecks against the possibility of accelerated approvals later in the year.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$235,107
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «1-100» з 68%, далі «101-1k» з 14%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?» згенерував $235.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 5, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?» — «1-100» з 68%. Наступний — «101-1k» з 14%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.