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icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Oct 31

Jan 1, 2027

Oct 31

Jan 1, 2027

21% шанс
Polymarket

$20,543 Обс.

21% шанс
Polymarket

$20,543 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Howard Lutnick remains the confirmed Secretary of Commerce, with Senate confirmation in February 2025 and no subsequent resignation, termination, or replacement signals through September 2026.** Recent reporting shows him actively advancing Trump administration priorities, including executing trade and investment commitments with Japan, Korea, and Taiwan, expanding U.S. semiconductor and advanced manufacturing capacity, and implementing tariff policies on autos and other sectors. Public appearances and statements in mid-to-late 2026 emphasize urgency on reshoring and supply-chain goals over the next two years, consistent with ongoing administration support. Past controversies, such as congressional scrutiny over Epstein ties and family business interests, produced Democratic criticism and oversight but have not prompted removal or shifted White House backing. Trader consensus reflected in the 77.5% “No” price aligns with this continuity in a second-term cabinet context where incumbents aligned with presidential objectives typically complete their terms absent major new developments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$20,543
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Howard Lutnick remains the confirmed Secretary of Commerce, with Senate confirmation in February 2025 and no subsequent resignation, termination, or replacement signals through September 2026.** Recent reporting shows him actively advancing Trump administration priorities, including executing trade and investment commitments with Japan, Korea, and Taiwan, expanding U.S. semiconductor and advanced manufacturing capacity, and implementing tariff policies on autos and other sectors. Public appearances and statements in mid-to-late 2026 emphasize urgency on reshoring and supply-chain goals over the next two years, consistent with ongoing administration support. Past controversies, such as congressional scrutiny over Epstein ties and family business interests, produced Democratic criticism and oversight but have not prompted removal or shifted White House backing. Trader consensus reflected in the 77.5% “No” price aligns with this continuity in a second-term cabinet context where incumbents aligned with presidential objectives typically complete their terms absent major new developments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$20,543
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 21% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 21¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 21%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?» згенерував $20.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 31, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?» — 21% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 21% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.