Ongoing U.S.-mediated talks in Rome and a June trilateral framework agreement focus on phased Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon security zones, with Lebanese army deployments in pilot areas such as Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh. Recent developments include Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon on August 15 that killed seven people—the highest toll since the June truce—and earlier incidents involving soldier deaths and retaliatory actions in early August. These operations remain concentrated near the border in towns like Bint Jbeil and Nabatieh, with no verified advances or plans extending northward to Beirut. Hezbollah's rejection of disarmament conditions and continued low-level exchanges sustain trader assessments of limited escalation risk beyond the south in the near term.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIsraeli forces enter Beirut by...?
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
$137,109 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
3%
$137,109 Обс.
August 31
$7,196 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Ongoing U.S.-mediated talks in Rome and a June trilateral framework agreement focus on phased Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon security zones, with Lebanese army deployments in pilot areas such as Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh. Recent developments include Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon on August 15 that killed seven people—the highest toll since the June truce—and earlier incidents involving soldier deaths and retaliatory actions in early August. These operations remain concentrated near the border in towns like Bint Jbeil and Nabatieh, with no verified advances or plans extending northward to Beirut. Hezbollah's rejection of disarmament conditions and continued low-level exchanges sustain trader assessments of limited escalation risk beyond the south in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$137,109Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Ongoing U.S.-mediated talks in Rome and a June trilateral framework agreement focus on phased Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon security zones, with Lebanese army deployments in pilot areas such as Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh. Recent developments include Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon on August 15 that killed seven people—the highest toll since the June truce—and earlier incidents involving soldier deaths and retaliatory actions in early August. These operations remain concentrated near the border in towns like Bint Jbeil and Nabatieh, with no verified advances or plans extending northward to Beirut. Hezbollah's rejection of disarmament conditions and continued low-level exchanges sustain trader assessments of limited escalation risk beyond the south in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Обсяг
$137,109Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-mediated talks in Rome and a June trilateral framework agreement focus on phased Israeli withdrawals from southern Lebanon security zones, with Lebanese army deployments in pilot areas such as Zawtar al-Gharbiyeh. Recent developments include Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon on August 15 that killed seven people—the highest toll since the June truce—and earlier incidents involving soldier deaths and retaliatory actions in early August. These operations remain concentrated near the border in towns like Bint Jbeil and Nabatieh, with no verified advances or plans extending northward to Beirut. Hezbollah's rejection of disarmament conditions and continued low-level exchanges sustain trader assessments of limited escalation risk beyond the south in the near term.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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