The official X account @khamenei_ir, now focused on archival statements from the martyred former Supreme Leader following his February 2026 death, has maintained low posting frequency in the absence of acute diplomatic or military triggers. Historical weekly patterns since the leadership transition to Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei show zero to four posts outside crisis periods, aligning with the current May 12–19 window where only one archival repost has appeared through mid-May. No major summits, escalation signals, or domestic political deadlines fall within the resolution period to prompt increased messaging, reinforcing trader consensus around limited activity while leaving room for any late-week developments to adjust counts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKhamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 91%
5-9 10%
10-14 2.1%
15-19 1.6%
$10,585 Обс.
$10,585 Обс.
May 19, 2026
<5
86%
5-9
10%
10-14
2%
15-19
2%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 91%
5-9 10%
10-14 2.1%
15-19 1.6%
$10,585 Обс.
$10,585 Обс.
May 19, 2026
<5
$1,956 Обс.
86%
5-9
$1,851 Обс.
10%
10-14
$659 Обс.
2%
15-19
$1,155 Обс.
2%
20-24
$818 Обс.
1%
25-29
$401 Обс.
<1%
30-34
$458 Обс.
1%
35-39
$443 Обс.
<1%
40-44
$596 Обс.
<1%
45-49
$484 Обс.
<1%
50-54
$489 Обс.
<1%
55-59
$609 Обс.
<1%
60+
$666 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official X account @khamenei_ir, now focused on archival statements from the martyred former Supreme Leader following his February 2026 death, has maintained low posting frequency in the absence of acute diplomatic or military triggers. Historical weekly patterns since the leadership transition to Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei show zero to four posts outside crisis periods, aligning with the current May 12–19 window where only one archival repost has appeared through mid-May. No major summits, escalation signals, or domestic political deadlines fall within the resolution period to prompt increased messaging, reinforcing trader consensus around limited activity while leaving room for any late-week developments to adjust counts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,585Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official X account @khamenei_ir, now focused on archival statements from the martyred former Supreme Leader following his February 2026 death, has maintained low posting frequency in the absence of acute diplomatic or military triggers. Historical weekly patterns since the leadership transition to Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei show zero to four posts outside crisis periods, aligning with the current May 12–19 window where only one archival repost has appeared through mid-May. No major summits, escalation signals, or domestic political deadlines fall within the resolution period to prompt increased messaging, reinforcing trader consensus around limited activity while leaving room for any late-week developments to adjust counts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$10,585Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The official X account @khamenei_ir, now focused on archival statements from the martyred former Supreme Leader following his February 2026 death, has maintained low posting frequency in the absence of acute diplomatic or military triggers. Historical weekly patterns since the leadership transition to Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei show zero to four posts outside crisis periods, aligning with the current May 12–19 window where only one archival repost has appeared through mid-May. No major summits, escalation signals, or domestic political deadlines fall within the resolution period to prompt increased messaging, reinforcing trader consensus around limited activity while leaving room for any late-week developments to adjust counts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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