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icon for Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

May 19

May 22

May 26

May 19

May 22

May 26

55-59 40.5%

45-49 40.3%

50-54 39.5%

60+ 21.9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

55-59 40.5%

45-49 40.3%

50-54 39.5%

60+ 21.9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

<5

$214 Обс.

46%

5-9

$62 Обс.

47%

10-14

$71 Обс.

23%

15-19

$44 Обс.

40%

20-24

$40 Обс.

40%

25-29

$40 Обс.

40%

30-34

$85 Обс.

36%

35-39

$61 Обс.

42%

40-44

$140 Обс.

5%

45-49

$70 Обс.

40%

50-54

$69 Обс.

39%

55-59

$55 Обс.

40%

60+

$123 Обс.

22%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The succession following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death has left the official @khamenei_ir account in a memorialized state, issuing only occasional archival statements rather than new commentary. This shift has produced extended quiet periods, with no posts recorded in the opening days of the current resolution window and similarly sparse activity through early May. Ongoing regional tensions with the United States and Israel continue to generate occasional written messages attributed to the new leadership, yet these rarely translate into frequent X activity on the legacy account. Traders therefore price the under-five and five-to-nine ranges nearly even, reflecting uncertainty over whether any scheduled commemorative or diplomatic statements will appear before May 22.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$1,075
Дата завершення
May 22, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The succession following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death has left the official @khamenei_ir account in a memorialized state, issuing only occasional archival statements rather than new commentary. This shift has produced extended quiet periods, with no posts recorded in the opening days of the current resolution window and similarly sparse activity through early May. Ongoing regional tensions with the United States and Israel continue to generate occasional written messages attributed to the new leadership, yet these rarely translate into frequent X activity on the legacy account. Traders therefore price the under-five and five-to-nine ranges nearly even, reflecting uncertainty over whether any scheduled commemorative or diplomatic statements will appear before May 22.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$1,075
Дата завершення
May 22, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 13 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «5-9» з 47%, далі «<5» з 46%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений May 12, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?», перегляньте 13 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?» — «5-9» з 47%. Наступний — «<5» з 46%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.