**President Lee Jae-myung faces limited risk of impeachment before 2027 due to the ruling Democratic Party of Korea’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly, which falls well short of the two-thirds threshold required to pass an impeachment motion.** A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal over suspended criminal cases collected more than 100,000 signatures and advanced to committee review, but the DPK’s control makes referral to a plenary vote or passage improbable. Opposition People Power Party lawmakers lack the numbers to force action, and no formal Assembly motion has advanced. Recent approval-rating declines—to a Gallup low of 42 percent in late August amid criticism of real estate policies and economic conditions—have not translated into the cross-party consensus needed for removal under the Constitution. Suspended trials and routine political friction have not produced new catalysts capable of shifting the legislative arithmetic before the 2027 horizon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
9% шанс
$21,566 Обс.
$21,566 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
9% шанс
$21,566 Обс.
$21,566 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung faces limited risk of impeachment before 2027 due to the ruling Democratic Party of Korea’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly, which falls well short of the two-thirds threshold required to pass an impeachment motion.**
A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal over suspended criminal cases collected more than 100,000 signatures and advanced to committee review, but the DPK’s control makes referral to a plenary vote or passage improbable. Opposition People Power Party lawmakers lack the numbers to force action, and no formal Assembly motion has advanced. Recent approval-rating declines—to a Gallup low of 42 percent in late August amid criticism of real estate policies and economic conditions—have not translated into the cross-party consensus needed for removal under the Constitution. Suspended trials and routine political friction have not produced new catalysts capable of shifting the legislative arithmetic before the 2027 horizon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,566Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung faces limited risk of impeachment before 2027 due to the ruling Democratic Party of Korea’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly, which falls well short of the two-thirds threshold required to pass an impeachment motion.**
A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal over suspended criminal cases collected more than 100,000 signatures and advanced to committee review, but the DPK’s control makes referral to a plenary vote or passage improbable. Opposition People Power Party lawmakers lack the numbers to force action, and no formal Assembly motion has advanced. Recent approval-rating declines—to a Gallup low of 42 percent in late August amid criticism of real estate policies and economic conditions—have not translated into the cross-party consensus needed for removal under the Constitution. Suspended trials and routine political friction have not produced new catalysts capable of shifting the legislative arithmetic before the 2027 horizon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$21,566Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung faces limited risk of impeachment before 2027 due to the ruling Democratic Party of Korea’s 161-seat majority in the 300-seat National Assembly, which falls well short of the two-thirds threshold required to pass an impeachment motion.** A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal over suspended criminal cases collected more than 100,000 signatures and advanced to committee review, but the DPK’s control makes referral to a plenary vote or passage improbable. Opposition People Power Party lawmakers lack the numbers to force action, and no formal Assembly motion has advanced. Recent approval-rating declines—to a Gallup low of 42 percent in late August amid criticism of real estate policies and economic conditions—have not translated into the cross-party consensus needed for removal under the Constitution. Suspended trials and routine political friction have not produced new catalysts capable of shifting the legislative arithmetic before the 2027 horizon.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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