President Lee Jae-myung faces ongoing opposition criticism and isolated petitions for impeachment tied to suspended criminal trials from his pre-presidency period and disputes over Supreme Court nominations, yet the ruling Democratic Party’s 161-seat majority in the 300-member National Assembly blocks the two-thirds threshold required for passage. Recent developments, including a June 2026 petition exceeding 100,000 signatures and August 2026 clashes over judicial appointments, have prompted People Power Party accusations of interference but produced no cross-party momentum or formal motion with realistic prospects. Approval ratings dipped below 50 percent amid economic and election-related concerns, yet Lee’s administration has prioritized anti-corruption measures and legislative initiatives without triggering the institutional conditions or broad consensus needed for removal before 2027. Traders therefore price the “No” outcome at 89.3 percent, reflecting these structural and political barriers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
11% шанс
$21,566 Обс.
$21,566 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
11% шанс
$21,566 Обс.
$21,566 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung faces ongoing opposition criticism and isolated petitions for impeachment tied to suspended criminal trials from his pre-presidency period and disputes over Supreme Court nominations, yet the ruling Democratic Party’s 161-seat majority in the 300-member National Assembly blocks the two-thirds threshold required for passage. Recent developments, including a June 2026 petition exceeding 100,000 signatures and August 2026 clashes over judicial appointments, have prompted People Power Party accusations of interference but produced no cross-party momentum or formal motion with realistic prospects. Approval ratings dipped below 50 percent amid economic and election-related concerns, yet Lee’s administration has prioritized anti-corruption measures and legislative initiatives without triggering the institutional conditions or broad consensus needed for removal before 2027. Traders therefore price the “No” outcome at 89.3 percent, reflecting these structural and political barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,566Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung faces ongoing opposition criticism and isolated petitions for impeachment tied to suspended criminal trials from his pre-presidency period and disputes over Supreme Court nominations, yet the ruling Democratic Party’s 161-seat majority in the 300-member National Assembly blocks the two-thirds threshold required for passage. Recent developments, including a June 2026 petition exceeding 100,000 signatures and August 2026 clashes over judicial appointments, have prompted People Power Party accusations of interference but produced no cross-party momentum or formal motion with realistic prospects. Approval ratings dipped below 50 percent amid economic and election-related concerns, yet Lee’s administration has prioritized anti-corruption measures and legislative initiatives without triggering the institutional conditions or broad consensus needed for removal before 2027. Traders therefore price the “No” outcome at 89.3 percent, reflecting these structural and political barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Обсяг
$21,566Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung faces ongoing opposition criticism and isolated petitions for impeachment tied to suspended criminal trials from his pre-presidency period and disputes over Supreme Court nominations, yet the ruling Democratic Party’s 161-seat majority in the 300-member National Assembly blocks the two-thirds threshold required for passage. Recent developments, including a June 2026 petition exceeding 100,000 signatures and August 2026 clashes over judicial appointments, have prompted People Power Party accusations of interference but produced no cross-party momentum or formal motion with realistic prospects. Approval ratings dipped below 50 percent amid economic and election-related concerns, yet Lee’s administration has prioritized anti-corruption measures and legislative initiatives without triggering the institutional conditions or broad consensus needed for removal before 2027. Traders therefore price the “No” outcome at 89.3 percent, reflecting these structural and political barriers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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