Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler northerly flow and 40-55% chance of showers or thunderstorms on August 28, driving Ankara's overnight minimum well below recent 17-19°C readings. This advection of milder maritime air, combined with increased cloud cover reducing daytime heating and potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling, positions the low near 11-15°C according to consensus guidance from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models. Trader odds cluster tightly around 44-49% for outcomes in the 10-16°C range because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing could alter the exact minimum by 1-2°C, while the negligible 1% on 17°C reflects clear evidence against warmer conditions. Historical August minima average near 14°C, providing context for the current elevated odds on cooler thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 28?
20°C or higher 47%
15°C 46%
16°C 46%
13°C 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
30%
11°C
28%
12°C
44%
13°C
45%
14°C
45%
15°C
46%
16°C
46%
17°C
45%
18°C
45%
19°C
35%
20°C or higher
47%
20°C or higher 47%
15°C 46%
16°C 46%
13°C 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
$10 Обс.
30%
11°C
$10 Обс.
28%
12°C
$0 Обс.
44%
13°C
$0 Обс.
45%
14°C
$0 Обс.
45%
15°C
$0 Обс.
46%
16°C
$0 Обс.
46%
17°C
$0 Обс.
45%
18°C
$0 Обс.
45%
19°C
$0 Обс.
35%
20°C or higher
$19 Обс.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler northerly flow and 40-55% chance of showers or thunderstorms on August 28, driving Ankara's overnight minimum well below recent 17-19°C readings. This advection of milder maritime air, combined with increased cloud cover reducing daytime heating and potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling, positions the low near 11-15°C according to consensus guidance from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models. Trader odds cluster tightly around 44-49% for outcomes in the 10-16°C range because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing could alter the exact minimum by 1-2°C, while the negligible 1% on 17°C reflects clear evidence against warmer conditions. Historical August minima average near 14°C, providing context for the current elevated odds on cooler thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$39Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler northerly flow and 40-55% chance of showers or thunderstorms on August 28, driving Ankara's overnight minimum well below recent 17-19°C readings. This advection of milder maritime air, combined with increased cloud cover reducing daytime heating and potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling, positions the low near 11-15°C according to consensus guidance from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models. Trader odds cluster tightly around 44-49% for outcomes in the 10-16°C range because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing could alter the exact minimum by 1-2°C, while the negligible 1% on 17°C reflects clear evidence against warmer conditions. Historical August minima average near 14°C, providing context for the current elevated odds on cooler thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$39Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler northerly flow and 40-55% chance of showers or thunderstorms on August 28, driving Ankara's overnight minimum well below recent 17-19°C readings. This advection of milder maritime air, combined with increased cloud cover reducing daytime heating and potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling, positions the low near 11-15°C according to consensus guidance from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and European models. Trader odds cluster tightly around 44-49% for outcomes in the 10-16°C range because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer mixing could alter the exact minimum by 1-2°C, while the negligible 1% on 17°C reflects clear evidence against warmer conditions. Historical August minima average near 14°C, providing context for the current elevated odds on cooler thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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