**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international services project a clear night over Jinan on September 15, 2026, with southwest winds of 2–4 m/s and lows near 19–22°C.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, typical for mid-September as the region transitions from summer warmth, yet the current warm air mass and light mixing limit deeper drops. Trader consensus around 15°C versus nearby lower thresholds reflects uncertainty in exact minimums, driven by variables like precise wind speeds, dew point depression, and urban heat retention that can shift the overnight low by 2–4°C. Official guidance emphasizes dry conditions with no fronts expected, keeping probabilities anchored near the upper end of historical September nighttime ranges while acknowledging model spread on local cooling rates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Jinan on September 15?
12°C or below 90%
16°C 2%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
12°C or below
90%
13°C
-
14°C
-
15°C
-
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 90%
16°C 2%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
12°C or below
90%
13°C
-
14°C
-
15°C
-
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international services project a clear night over Jinan on September 15, 2026, with southwest winds of 2–4 m/s and lows near 19–22°C.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, typical for mid-September as the region transitions from summer warmth, yet the current warm air mass and light mixing limit deeper drops. Trader consensus around 15°C versus nearby lower thresholds reflects uncertainty in exact minimums, driven by variables like precise wind speeds, dew point depression, and urban heat retention that can shift the overnight low by 2–4°C. Official guidance emphasizes dry conditions with no fronts expected, keeping probabilities anchored near the upper end of historical September nighttime ranges while acknowledging model spread on local cooling rates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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