Recent forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show overnight lows in Jinan clustering between 17–20°C on September 21, driven by partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds under 3 m/s, and moderate humidity near 50–70%. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, while variable cloud timing creates model spread that keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched around 16–19°C. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, but current surface pressure and dew points near 14–16°C support the narrow range of outcomes traders are pricing. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will likely resolve the closest bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Jinan on September 21?
15°C 88%
12°C or below 87%
13°C 87%
19°C 47%
12°C or below
87%
13°C
87%
14°C
19%
15°C
88%
16°C
47%
17°C
47%
18°C
47%
19°C
47%
20°C
45%
21°C
46%
22°C or higher
<1%
15°C 88%
12°C or below 87%
13°C 87%
19°C 47%
12°C or below
87%
13°C
87%
14°C
19%
15°C
88%
16°C
47%
17°C
47%
18°C
47%
19°C
47%
20°C
45%
21°C
46%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show overnight lows in Jinan clustering between 17–20°C on September 21, driven by partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds under 3 m/s, and moderate humidity near 50–70%. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, while variable cloud timing creates model spread that keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched around 16–19°C. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, but current surface pressure and dew points near 14–16°C support the narrow range of outcomes traders are pricing. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will likely resolve the closest bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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