**Trader sentiment for Karachi's September 2 low temperature reflects substantial uncertainty around typical early-September values near 26–27°C.** Long-term climatology and current model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius as the most probable range, influenced by the city's coastal location and the tail end of the monsoon season. However, a notably weak 2026 monsoon—linked to El Niño suppression of rainfall—has reduced cloud cover and moisture, which can enhance nighttime radiative cooling and allow cooler minima, while any lingering humidity or calm winds could keep lows elevated above 28°C. This dynamic explains the closely matched leading outcomes for both warmer (>31°C) and cooler (<21°C) extremes alongside the clustered mid-range probabilities. Forecasters from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models will provide updated guidance over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Karachi on September 2?
31°C or higher 69%
21°C or below 66%
29°C 49%
23°C 48%
21°C or below
66%
22°C
14%
23°C
48%
24°C
2%
25°C
25%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
69%
31°C or higher 69%
21°C or below 66%
29°C 49%
23°C 48%
21°C or below
66%
22°C
14%
23°C
48%
24°C
2%
25°C
25%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Karachi's September 2 low temperature reflects substantial uncertainty around typical early-September values near 26–27°C.** Long-term climatology and current model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius as the most probable range, influenced by the city's coastal location and the tail end of the monsoon season. However, a notably weak 2026 monsoon—linked to El Niño suppression of rainfall—has reduced cloud cover and moisture, which can enhance nighttime radiative cooling and allow cooler minima, while any lingering humidity or calm winds could keep lows elevated above 28°C. This dynamic explains the closely matched leading outcomes for both warmer (>31°C) and cooler (<21°C) extremes alongside the clustered mid-range probabilities. Forecasters from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models will provide updated guidance over the next 48 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання