Kuala Lumpur’s equatorial setting produces limited diurnal temperature swings, with typical August minimums near 24–26°C under Southwest Monsoon flow. Strengthening El Niño conditions and below-normal rainfall forecasts favor clearer skies that could suppress nocturnal cooling or allow slightly warmer nights, while scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover may enhance radiative cooling and push lows toward or below 23°C. Current model guidance shows Aug 24 overnight temperatures clustered around 25°C, creating tight uncertainty between modest cooling from convective activity and limited warming from drier air. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher brackets, reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes and the sensitivity of minimum temperatures to small changes in humidity, cloud timing, and wind.