Active southwest monsoon flows and lingering effects from recent storms and tropical systems are keeping Manila under persistent cloud cover and scattered to widespread rain through September 3, moderating both daytime maxima and nighttime minima. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble model runs indicate lows near 25–27 °C under humid, overcast conditions that limit radiative cooling while also suppressing peak solar heating. Ongoing El Niño conditions in the Pacific add longer-term context for potentially drier tendencies, yet the immediate steering pattern favors continued moisture influx from the southwest. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the exact minimum, with traders balancing the chance of brief clear spells allowing slightly cooler readings against sustained cloudiness that anchors temperatures closer to seasonal norms of roughly 25–26 °C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.