**Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicates Qingdao’s September 17 minimum will likely settle near 22 °C under southeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and the absence of a strong cold-air outbreak keep temperatures above seasonal norms for mid-September, with model consensus favoring a 21–23 °C range. Trader emphasis on the 19 °C-or-below outcome at 42.5 % implied probability appears driven by residual uncertainty around local microclimate effects and possible model spread in boundary-layer forecasts, while the secondary weighting on 29 °C-plus reflects lingering warmth signals in some ensemble members. Updated short-range runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 17?
29°C or higher 57%
23°C 38%
24°C 38%
25°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
38%
20°C
30%
21°C
27%
22°C
21%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C
13%
27°C
13%
28°C
14%
29°C or higher
57%
29°C or higher 57%
23°C 38%
24°C 38%
25°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Обс.
38%
20°C
$0 Обс.
30%
21°C
$0 Обс.
27%
22°C
$0 Обс.
21%
23°C
$0 Обс.
38%
24°C
$0 Обс.
38%
25°C
$0 Обс.
38%
26°C
$0 Обс.
13%
27°C
$0 Обс.
13%
28°C
$0 Обс.
14%
29°C or higher
$0 Обс.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicates Qingdao’s September 17 minimum will likely settle near 22 °C under southeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.**
Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and the absence of a strong cold-air outbreak keep temperatures above seasonal norms for mid-September, with model consensus favoring a 21–23 °C range. Trader emphasis on the 19 °C-or-below outcome at 42.5 % implied probability appears driven by residual uncertainty around local microclimate effects and possible model spread in boundary-layer forecasts, while the secondary weighting on 29 °C-plus reflects lingering warmth signals in some ensemble members. Updated short-range runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicates Qingdao’s September 17 minimum will likely settle near 22 °C under southeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.**
Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and the absence of a strong cold-air outbreak keep temperatures above seasonal norms for mid-September, with model consensus favoring a 21–23 °C range. Trader emphasis on the 19 °C-or-below outcome at 42.5 % implied probability appears driven by residual uncertainty around local microclimate effects and possible model spread in boundary-layer forecasts, while the secondary weighting on 29 °C-plus reflects lingering warmth signals in some ensemble members. Updated short-range runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicates Qingdao’s September 17 minimum will likely settle near 22 °C under southeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and the absence of a strong cold-air outbreak keep temperatures above seasonal norms for mid-September, with model consensus favoring a 21–23 °C range. Trader emphasis on the 19 °C-or-below outcome at 42.5 % implied probability appears driven by residual uncertainty around local microclimate effects and possible model spread in boundary-layer forecasts, while the secondary weighting on 29 °C-plus reflects lingering warmth signals in some ensemble members. Updated short-range runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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