Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project Shanghai's overnight low on August 28 near 27–28°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity limiting radiative cooling under a moist subtropical airmass. Current conditions show daytime highs in the low 30s with northeast to easterly flow, setting up similar moderation overnight as moisture from nearby systems reduces diurnal temperature range. Historical August minima average 24–26°C, but this pattern aligns with the warmer recent baseline. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27°C (55.5%) and 28°C (39%), reflecting trader weighting of these consensus forecasts ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 28?
27°C 51%
28°C 34%
29°C 12%
26°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C
10%
27°C
51%
28°C
34%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 34%
29°C 12%
26°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
$22 Обс.
1%
24°C
$0 Обс.
9%
25°C
$0 Обс.
9%
26°C
$0 Обс.
10%
27°C
$0 Обс.
51%
28°C
$0 Обс.
34%
29°C
$0 Обс.
12%
30°C
$22 Обс.
3%
31°C
$22 Обс.
1%
32°C
$27 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$38 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project Shanghai's overnight low on August 28 near 27–28°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity limiting radiative cooling under a moist subtropical airmass. Current conditions show daytime highs in the low 30s with northeast to easterly flow, setting up similar moderation overnight as moisture from nearby systems reduces diurnal temperature range. Historical August minima average 24–26°C, but this pattern aligns with the warmer recent baseline. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27°C (55.5%) and 28°C (39%), reflecting trader weighting of these consensus forecasts ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project Shanghai's overnight low on August 28 near 27–28°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity limiting radiative cooling under a moist subtropical airmass. Current conditions show daytime highs in the low 30s with northeast to easterly flow, setting up similar moderation overnight as moisture from nearby systems reduces diurnal temperature range. Historical August minima average 24–26°C, but this pattern aligns with the warmer recent baseline. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27°C (55.5%) and 28°C (39%), reflecting trader weighting of these consensus forecasts ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project Shanghai's overnight low on August 28 near 27–28°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity limiting radiative cooling under a moist subtropical airmass. Current conditions show daytime highs in the low 30s with northeast to easterly flow, setting up similar moderation overnight as moisture from nearby systems reduces diurnal temperature range. Historical August minima average 24–26°C, but this pattern aligns with the warmer recent baseline. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 27°C (55.5%) and 28°C (39%), reflecting trader weighting of these consensus forecasts ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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