Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3 of 25–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean late-summer regime. Clear skies and light winds overnight support modest radiative cooling, while proximity to the Mediterranean Sea and urban heat effects limit further drops. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 23–27°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows minor disagreements on exact wind direction and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. The elevated weight on 31°C+ reflects residual uncertainty about any unseasonal warm advection, though current observations and short-range models place that scenario as low-probability. Updated runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will clarify the precise minimum before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3?
31°C or higher 55%
27°C 50%
22°C 49%
26°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
15%
22°C
49%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
49%
27°C
50%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
55%
31°C or higher 55%
27°C 50%
22°C 49%
26°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
15%
22°C
$0 Обс.
49%
23°C
$0 Обс.
48%
24°C
$0 Обс.
48%
25°C
$0 Обс.
48%
26°C
$0 Обс.
49%
27°C
$0 Обс.
50%
28°C
$0 Обс.
2%
29°C
$0 Обс.
8%
30°C
$0 Обс.
8%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3 of 25–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean late-summer regime. Clear skies and light winds overnight support modest radiative cooling, while proximity to the Mediterranean Sea and urban heat effects limit further drops. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 23–27°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows minor disagreements on exact wind direction and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. The elevated weight on 31°C+ reflects residual uncertainty about any unseasonal warm advection, though current observations and short-range models place that scenario as low-probability. Updated runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will clarify the precise minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3 of 25–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean late-summer regime. Clear skies and light winds overnight support modest radiative cooling, while proximity to the Mediterranean Sea and urban heat effects limit further drops. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 23–27°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows minor disagreements on exact wind direction and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. The elevated weight on 31°C+ reflects residual uncertainty about any unseasonal warm advection, though current observations and short-range models place that scenario as low-probability. Updated runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will clarify the precise minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3 of 25–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's Mediterranean late-summer regime. Clear skies and light winds overnight support modest radiative cooling, while proximity to the Mediterranean Sea and urban heat effects limit further drops. Trader-implied probabilities cluster around 23–27°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows minor disagreements on exact wind direction and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. The elevated weight on 31°C+ reflects residual uncertainty about any unseasonal warm advection, though current observations and short-range models place that scenario as low-probability. Updated runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles will clarify the precise minimum before market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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