**Current forecast models from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate a minimum temperature of 6°C for Warsaw on September 13, driving the near-certain market-implied probability.** Overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and surface pressure around 1019-1020 hPa has produced this reading, consistent with climatological expectations for mid-September when average lows hover near 10-12°C but can dip lower with clear or stable conditions. Official monitoring from agencies tracking hourly data confirms the overnight minimum aligns with this threshold, with daytime highs recovering to 19-20°C. Scenarios that could alter resolution include unforecasted advection of warmer air masses or measurement revisions from the primary reporting station, though model consensus and recent observations make such shifts unlikely before the day's close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
6°C 99.4%
5°C or below 1.0%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,875 Обс.
$1,875 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
99%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
6°C 99.4%
5°C or below 1.0%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,875 Обс.
$1,875 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
5°C or below
$212 Обс.
1%
6°C
$323 Обс.
99%
7°C
$566 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$74 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$304 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$228 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$58 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$52 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
15°C or higher
$33 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate a minimum temperature of 6°C for Warsaw on September 13, driving the near-certain market-implied probability.** Overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and surface pressure around 1019-1020 hPa has produced this reading, consistent with climatological expectations for mid-September when average lows hover near 10-12°C but can dip lower with clear or stable conditions. Official monitoring from agencies tracking hourly data confirms the overnight minimum aligns with this threshold, with daytime highs recovering to 19-20°C. Scenarios that could alter resolution include unforecasted advection of warmer air masses or measurement revisions from the primary reporting station, though model consensus and recent observations make such shifts unlikely before the day's close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,875Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate a minimum temperature of 6°C for Warsaw on September 13, driving the near-certain market-implied probability.** Overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and surface pressure around 1019-1020 hPa has produced this reading, consistent with climatological expectations for mid-September when average lows hover near 10-12°C but can dip lower with clear or stable conditions. Official monitoring from agencies tracking hourly data confirms the overnight minimum aligns with this threshold, with daytime highs recovering to 19-20°C. Scenarios that could alter resolution include unforecasted advection of warmer air masses or measurement revisions from the primary reporting station, though model consensus and recent observations make such shifts unlikely before the day's close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,875Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like the Global Forecast System indicate a minimum temperature of 6°C for Warsaw on September 13, driving the near-certain market-implied probability.** Overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and surface pressure around 1019-1020 hPa has produced this reading, consistent with climatological expectations for mid-September when average lows hover near 10-12°C but can dip lower with clear or stable conditions. Official monitoring from agencies tracking hourly data confirms the overnight minimum aligns with this threshold, with daytime highs recovering to 19-20°C. Scenarios that could alter resolution include unforecasted advection of warmer air masses or measurement revisions from the primary reporting station, though model consensus and recent observations make such shifts unlikely before the day's close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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