Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 14 around 13–15°C, driven by mild southerly flow under high pressure with light winds and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors the market's leading outcomes near 13–15°C by maintaining above-average temperatures for mid-September, when historical lows typically range 8–12°C. Trader consensus on higher thresholds like 19°C or above reflects uncertainty in model spread and potential for clearer skies to allow further cooling, while lower bins remain discounted absent a cold-air intrusion. Fresh ensemble runs and official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 14?
19°C or higher 77%
9°C or below 74%
12°C 40%
11°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
74%
10°C
17%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C
23%
16°C
37%
17°C
16%
18°C
13%
19°C or higher
77%
19°C or higher 77%
9°C or below 74%
12°C 40%
11°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
9°C or below
$45 Обс.
74%
10°C
$40 Обс.
17%
11°C
$0 Обс.
39%
12°C
$0 Обс.
40%
13°C
$0 Обс.
26%
14°C
$0 Обс.
24%
15°C
$72 Обс.
23%
16°C
$0 Обс.
37%
17°C
$0 Обс.
16%
18°C
$0 Обс.
13%
19°C or higher
$0 Обс.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 14 around 13–15°C, driven by mild southerly flow under high pressure with light winds and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors the market's leading outcomes near 13–15°C by maintaining above-average temperatures for mid-September, when historical lows typically range 8–12°C. Trader consensus on higher thresholds like 19°C or above reflects uncertainty in model spread and potential for clearer skies to allow further cooling, while lower bins remain discounted absent a cold-air intrusion. Fresh ensemble runs and official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$158Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 14 around 13–15°C, driven by mild southerly flow under high pressure with light winds and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors the market's leading outcomes near 13–15°C by maintaining above-average temperatures for mid-September, when historical lows typically range 8–12°C. Trader consensus on higher thresholds like 19°C or above reflects uncertainty in model spread and potential for clearer skies to allow further cooling, while lower bins remain discounted absent a cold-air intrusion. Fresh ensemble runs and official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$158Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 14 around 13–15°C, driven by mild southerly flow under high pressure with light winds and variable cloud cover that limits strong radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors the market's leading outcomes near 13–15°C by maintaining above-average temperatures for mid-September, when historical lows typically range 8–12°C. Trader consensus on higher thresholds like 19°C or above reflects uncertainty in model spread and potential for clearer skies to allow further cooling, while lower bins remain discounted absent a cold-air intrusion. Fresh ensemble runs and official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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