U.S. federal authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in Caracas during a January 2026 military operation and extradited him to face narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in Manhattan federal court. These offenses carry mandatory minimum sentences of 20 years and potential life terms under statutes like 21 U.S.C. §960a, which has kept the 60+ years outcome as the narrow leader among traders. His not guilty plea, ongoing pretrial disputes over defense funding from Venezuelan sources, and judge rulings extending hearings into summer 2026 have sustained support for no prison time or shorter ranges. A verdict or plea deal later this year could consolidate probabilities, while evidentiary challenges in proving the terrorism nexus or diplomatic pressures remain key variables that might shift the current tight distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено60+ 35%
20–40 26.4%
Без тюремного ув'язнення 24%
40–60 9%
$527,349 Обс.
$527,349 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
Без тюремного ув'язнення
24%
<20
5%
20–40
26%
40–60
9%
60+
35%
60+ 35%
20–40 26.4%
Без тюремного ув'язнення 24%
40–60 9%
$527,349 Обс.
$527,349 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
Без тюремного ув'язнення
$373,715 Обс.
24%
<20
$57,382 Обс.
5%
20–40
$48,090 Обс.
26%
40–60
$15,913 Обс.
9%
60+
$32,250 Обс.
35%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. federal authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in Caracas during a January 2026 military operation and extradited him to face narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in Manhattan federal court. These offenses carry mandatory minimum sentences of 20 years and potential life terms under statutes like 21 U.S.C. §960a, which has kept the 60+ years outcome as the narrow leader among traders. His not guilty plea, ongoing pretrial disputes over defense funding from Venezuelan sources, and judge rulings extending hearings into summer 2026 have sustained support for no prison time or shorter ranges. A verdict or plea deal later this year could consolidate probabilities, while evidentiary challenges in proving the terrorism nexus or diplomatic pressures remain key variables that might shift the current tight distribution.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$527,349Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. federal authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in Caracas during a January 2026 military operation and extradited him to face narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in Manhattan federal court. These offenses carry mandatory minimum sentences of 20 years and potential life terms under statutes like 21 U.S.C. §960a, which has kept the 60+ years outcome as the narrow leader among traders. His not guilty plea, ongoing pretrial disputes over defense funding from Venezuelan sources, and judge rulings extending hearings into summer 2026 have sustained support for no prison time or shorter ranges. A verdict or plea deal later this year could consolidate probabilities, while evidentiary challenges in proving the terrorism nexus or diplomatic pressures remain key variables that might shift the current tight distribution.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$527,349Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. federal authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in Caracas during a January 2026 military operation and extradited him to face narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in Manhattan federal court. These offenses carry mandatory minimum sentences of 20 years and potential life terms under statutes like 21 U.S.C. §960a, which has kept the 60+ years outcome as the narrow leader among traders. His not guilty plea, ongoing pretrial disputes over defense funding from Venezuelan sources, and judge rulings extending hearings into summer 2026 have sustained support for no prison time or shorter ranges. A verdict or plea deal later this year could consolidate probabilities, while evidentiary challenges in proving the terrorism nexus or diplomatic pressures remain key variables that might shift the current tight distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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