Traders are assigning the highest implied probabilities to a May US inflation reading of 4.3% at 36% and 4.4% or higher at 32.5%, with 4.2% close behind at 25%, reflecting closely contested expectations around the annual CPI figure. This tight clustering stems from mixed recent data releases, where persistent services and shelter inflation have offset cooling goods prices, keeping the headline rate elevated near prior months’ levels. Market-implied odds also incorporate the latest Federal Reserve communications on monetary policy and the trajectory of labor-market indicators, which continue to influence assessments of whether cooling demand will produce a modest deceleration. Upcoming June CPI details and any revisions to prior prints remain key catalysts that could shift positioning ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено4.3% 36%
≥4.4% 33%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 9%
$12,782 Обс.
$12,782 Обс.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
1%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
2%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
9%
4.2%
25%
4.3%
36%
≥4.4%
33%
4.3% 36%
≥4.4% 33%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 9%
$12,782 Обс.
$12,782 Обс.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
$415 Обс.
<1%
3.4%
$261 Обс.
<1%
3.5%
$656 Обс.
1%
3.6%
$432 Обс.
<1%
3.7%
$386 Обс.
1%
3.8%
$380 Обс.
1%
3.9%
$397 Обс.
2%
4.0%
$499 Обс.
1%
4.1%
$1,540 Обс.
9%
4.2%
$2,673 Обс.
25%
4.3%
$2,278 Обс.
36%
≥4.4%
$2,865 Обс.
33%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders are assigning the highest implied probabilities to a May US inflation reading of 4.3% at 36% and 4.4% or higher at 32.5%, with 4.2% close behind at 25%, reflecting closely contested expectations around the annual CPI figure. This tight clustering stems from mixed recent data releases, where persistent services and shelter inflation have offset cooling goods prices, keeping the headline rate elevated near prior months’ levels. Market-implied odds also incorporate the latest Federal Reserve communications on monetary policy and the trajectory of labor-market indicators, which continue to influence assessments of whether cooling demand will produce a modest deceleration. Upcoming June CPI details and any revisions to prior prints remain key catalysts that could shift positioning ahead of resolution.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,782Дата завершення
Jun 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders are assigning the highest implied probabilities to a May US inflation reading of 4.3% at 36% and 4.4% or higher at 32.5%, with 4.2% close behind at 25%, reflecting closely contested expectations around the annual CPI figure. This tight clustering stems from mixed recent data releases, where persistent services and shelter inflation have offset cooling goods prices, keeping the headline rate elevated near prior months’ levels. Market-implied odds also incorporate the latest Federal Reserve communications on monetary policy and the trajectory of labor-market indicators, which continue to influence assessments of whether cooling demand will produce a modest deceleration. Upcoming June CPI details and any revisions to prior prints remain key catalysts that could shift positioning ahead of resolution.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$12,782Дата завершення
Jun 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are assigning the highest implied probabilities to a May US inflation reading of 4.3% at 36% and 4.4% or higher at 32.5%, with 4.2% close behind at 25%, reflecting closely contested expectations around the annual CPI figure. This tight clustering stems from mixed recent data releases, where persistent services and shelter inflation have offset cooling goods prices, keeping the headline rate elevated near prior months’ levels. Market-implied odds also incorporate the latest Federal Reserve communications on monetary policy and the trajectory of labor-market indicators, which continue to influence assessments of whether cooling demand will produce a modest deceleration. Upcoming June CPI details and any revisions to prior prints remain key catalysts that could shift positioning ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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