Recent U.S. CPI data has intensified uncertainty around the May annual inflation print, with April’s 3.8% year-over-year reading—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in the energy index amid Middle East supply disruptions. Traders are assigning roughly 70% combined probability to outcomes at or above 4.3%, reflecting bets that elevated gasoline and fuel-oil prices will persist into the May survey period and outweigh moderating shelter and core-goods trends. The closely matched top bins underscore divided views on the duration of the oil shock versus seasonal easing and base effects. The June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release remains the key catalyst that will resolve these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено≥4.4% 36%
4.3% 35%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 7%
$31,159 Обс.
$31,159 Обс.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
1%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
7%
4.2%
25%
4.3%
35%
≥4.4%
36%
≥4.4% 36%
4.3% 35%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 7%
$31,159 Обс.
$31,159 Обс.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
$1,134 Обс.
<1%
3.4%
$879 Обс.
<1%
3.5%
$1,376 Обс.
<1%
3.6%
$1,151 Обс.
<1%
3.7%
$1,105 Обс.
1%
3.8%
$1,541 Обс.
1%
3.9%
$1,022 Обс.
<1%
4.0%
$1,218 Обс.
1%
4.1%
$2,259 Обс.
7%
4.2%
$6,250 Обс.
25%
4.3%
$8,627 Обс.
35%
≥4.4%
$4,597 Обс.
36%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. CPI data has intensified uncertainty around the May annual inflation print, with April’s 3.8% year-over-year reading—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in the energy index amid Middle East supply disruptions. Traders are assigning roughly 70% combined probability to outcomes at or above 4.3%, reflecting bets that elevated gasoline and fuel-oil prices will persist into the May survey period and outweigh moderating shelter and core-goods trends. The closely matched top bins underscore divided views on the duration of the oil shock versus seasonal easing and base effects. The June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release remains the key catalyst that will resolve these probabilities.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Обсяг
$31,159Дата завершення
Jun 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. CPI data has intensified uncertainty around the May annual inflation print, with April’s 3.8% year-over-year reading—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in the energy index amid Middle East supply disruptions. Traders are assigning roughly 70% combined probability to outcomes at or above 4.3%, reflecting bets that elevated gasoline and fuel-oil prices will persist into the May survey period and outweigh moderating shelter and core-goods trends. The closely matched top bins underscore divided views on the duration of the oil shock versus seasonal easing and base effects. The June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release remains the key catalyst that will resolve these probabilities.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$31,159Дата завершення
Jun 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. CPI data has intensified uncertainty around the May annual inflation print, with April’s 3.8% year-over-year reading—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in the energy index amid Middle East supply disruptions. Traders are assigning roughly 70% combined probability to outcomes at or above 4.3%, reflecting bets that elevated gasoline and fuel-oil prices will persist into the May survey period and outweigh moderating shelter and core-goods trends. The closely matched top bins underscore divided views on the duration of the oil shock versus seasonal easing and base effects. The June 10 Bureau of Labor Statistics release remains the key catalyst that will resolve these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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