Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of a high-profile challenger have kept the race non-competitive thus far. Key upcoming dates include the August 4, 2026 primaries and the November general election. A late scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually strong Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable without major intervening events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-02 House Election Winner
MI-02 House Election Winner
$51,799 Обс.
$51,799 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
99%
Democratic Party
1%
$51,799 Обс.
$51,799 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$21,913 Обс.
99%
Democratic Party
$29,887 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of a high-profile challenger have kept the race non-competitive thus far. Key upcoming dates include the August 4, 2026 primaries and the November general election. A late scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually strong Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable without major intervening events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$51,799Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of a high-profile challenger have kept the race non-competitive thus far. Key upcoming dates include the August 4, 2026 primaries and the November general election. A late scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually strong Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable without major intervening events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$51,799Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of a high-profile challenger have kept the race non-competitive thus far. Key upcoming dates include the August 4, 2026 primaries and the November general election. A late scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually strong Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable without major intervening events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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