Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Moolenaar’s unopposed primary victory and prior 65 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent primary results and limited Democratic fundraising further reinforce this positioning. A late national partisan wave, significant incumbent scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-02 House Election Winner
MI-02 House Election Winner
$53,857 Обс.
$53,857 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
97%
Democratic Party
1%
$53,857 Обс.
$53,857 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,752 Обс.
97%
Democratic Party
$31,105 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Moolenaar’s unopposed primary victory and prior 65 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent primary results and limited Democratic fundraising further reinforce this positioning. A late national partisan wave, significant incumbent scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$53,857Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Moolenaar’s unopposed primary victory and prior 65 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent primary results and limited Democratic fundraising further reinforce this positioning. A late national partisan wave, significant incumbent scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$53,857Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent John Moolenaar faces Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Moolenaar’s unopposed primary victory and prior 65 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent primary results and limited Democratic fundraising further reinforce this positioning. A late national partisan wave, significant incumbent scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання