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icon for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

icon for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

20% шанс
Polymarket

$247,981 Обс.

20% шанс
Polymarket

$247,981 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Miguel Díaz-Canel has publicly reaffirmed his commitment to remain in office through recent interviews and official statements, including April 2026 remarks on U.S. networks where he stated that stepping down is not part of Cuba’s political vocabulary and rejected external demands for leadership change. His current term extends to 2028 under the Communist Party framework, with no scheduled party congress, internal succession signals, or documented fractures in the ruling structures that would enable an early exit by late June. U.S. diplomatic pressure has prompted defiant Cuban responses emphasizing sovereignty and dialogue without preconditions, while primary sources show no verifiable moves toward resignation or removal. These factors underpin trader consensus that an abrupt departure remains improbable before the resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Обсяг
$247,981
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Miguel Díaz-Canel has publicly reaffirmed his commitment to remain in office through recent interviews and official statements, including April 2026 remarks on U.S. networks where he stated that stepping down is not part of Cuba’s political vocabulary and rejected external demands for leadership change. His current term extends to 2028 under the Communist Party framework, with no scheduled party congress, internal succession signals, or documented fractures in the ruling structures that would enable an early exit by late June. U.S. diplomatic pressure has prompted defiant Cuban responses emphasizing sovereignty and dialogue without preconditions, while primary sources show no verifiable moves toward resignation or removal. These factors underpin trader consensus that an abrupt departure remains improbable before the resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Обсяг
$247,981
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 20% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 20¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 20%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?» згенерував $248K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 18, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?» — 20% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 20% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.