Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026, general election. The district's R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Burlison's 71.6% victory over Democrat Missi Hesketh in 2024—mirroring his 70.9% 2022 win—and ratings as Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore its deep-red status, with Trump carrying 69.7% in 2024. Burlison leads fundraising with over $857,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Hesketh's $20,000. The August 4 primaries loom, but an upset would require Burlison's defeat by low-profile GOP challengers John Casey or Grayson Hunt, or a major scandal, national Democratic wave, or stronger Democratic recruit—scenarios traders view as remote given historical base rates for safe seats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMO-07 House Election Winner
MO-07 House Election Winner
$19,120 Обс.
$19,120 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$19,120 Обс.
$19,120 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$15,755 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$3,365 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026, general election. The district's R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Burlison's 71.6% victory over Democrat Missi Hesketh in 2024—mirroring his 70.9% 2022 win—and ratings as Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore its deep-red status, with Trump carrying 69.7% in 2024. Burlison leads fundraising with over $857,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Hesketh's $20,000. The August 4 primaries loom, but an upset would require Burlison's defeat by low-profile GOP challengers John Casey or Grayson Hunt, or a major scandal, national Democratic wave, or stronger Democratic recruit—scenarios traders view as remote given historical base rates for safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,120Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026, general election. The district's R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Burlison's 71.6% victory over Democrat Missi Hesketh in 2024—mirroring his 70.9% 2022 win—and ratings as Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore its deep-red status, with Trump carrying 69.7% in 2024. Burlison leads fundraising with over $857,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Hesketh's $20,000. The August 4 primaries loom, but an upset would require Burlison's defeat by low-profile GOP challengers John Casey or Grayson Hunt, or a major scandal, national Democratic wave, or stronger Democratic recruit—scenarios traders view as remote given historical base rates for safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$19,120Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026, general election. The district's R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Burlison's 71.6% victory over Democrat Missi Hesketh in 2024—mirroring his 70.9% 2022 win—and ratings as Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore its deep-red status, with Trump carrying 69.7% in 2024. Burlison leads fundraising with over $857,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Hesketh's $20,000. The August 4 primaries loom, but an upset would require Burlison's defeat by low-profile GOP challengers John Casey or Grayson Hunt, or a major scandal, national Democratic wave, or stronger Democratic recruit—scenarios traders view as remote given historical base rates for safe seats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання