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icon for Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

icon for Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

НОВЕ
Jul 31, 2026
Polymarket

$7 Обс.

Polymarket

July 31

$7 Обс.

14%

September 30

$0 Обс.

45%

December 31

$0 Обс.

47%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf remains Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his reelection by lawmakers in May 2026. Trader focus centers on internal regime dynamics, including his positioning as a lead negotiator in U.S.-Iran talks amid ongoing diplomatic efforts and reported intra-elite debates with IRGC figures over engagement. Recent statements from Ghalibaf emphasize firm stances on U.S. commitments, regional security, and retaliation risks, while state media coverage of his interviews highlights sensitivities around negotiations. Parliamentary speaker selections occur through majority votes among sitting members, with no immediate term expiration or scheduled vote noted. Key variables include Supreme Leader influence, hardliner opposition, and any shifts in foreign policy outcomes that could affect his standing ahead of future sessions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$7
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf remains Speaker of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly following his reelection by lawmakers in May 2026. Trader focus centers on internal regime dynamics, including his positioning as a lead negotiator in U.S.-Iran talks amid ongoing diplomatic efforts and reported intra-elite debates with IRGC figures over engagement. Recent statements from Ghalibaf emphasize firm stances on U.S. commitments, regional security, and retaliation risks, while state media coverage of his interviews highlights sensitivities around negotiations. Parliamentary speaker selections occur through majority votes among sitting members, with no immediate term expiration or scheduled vote noted. Key variables include Supreme Leader influence, hardliner opposition, and any shifts in foreign policy outcomes that could affect his standing ahead of future sessions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$7
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31» з 47%, далі «September 30» з 45%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 9, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?» — «December 31» з 47%. Наступний — «September 30» з 45%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.