Moonshot AI’s rapid iteration on its Kimi series, capped by the July 16, 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 (weights released July 27), drives current trader positioning for the next Kimi K model. The sparse MoE architecture with Kimi Delta Attention delivered frontier-level results—trailing only Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol overall while leading on front-end coding and select agentic benchmarks—while offering competitive pricing and a 1-million-token context window. Frequent prior releases (K2.5 in January, K2.6 in April, K2.7 Code in June) and China’s broader push in open-weight models reinforce expectations that Moonshot will continue the lineage ahead of rivals like DeepSeek. No confirmed timeline or competing “Kimi K” announcements exist as of early September 2026, leaving room for surprise shifts from regulatory or competitive developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNext Kimi K model released by…?
Next Kimi K model released by…?
$15,781 Обс.
Sep 15, 2026
September 15, 2026
4%
September 30, 2026
89%
December 31, 2026
99%
$15,781 Обс.
September 15, 2026
$1,891 Обс.
4%
September 30, 2026
$9,775 Обс.
89%
December 31, 2026
$2,188 Обс.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s rapid iteration on its Kimi series, capped by the July 16, 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 (weights released July 27), drives current trader positioning for the next Kimi K model. The sparse MoE architecture with Kimi Delta Attention delivered frontier-level results—trailing only Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol overall while leading on front-end coding and select agentic benchmarks—while offering competitive pricing and a 1-million-token context window. Frequent prior releases (K2.5 in January, K2.6 in April, K2.7 Code in June) and China’s broader push in open-weight models reinforce expectations that Moonshot will continue the lineage ahead of rivals like DeepSeek. No confirmed timeline or competing “Kimi K” announcements exist as of early September 2026, leaving room for surprise shifts from regulatory or competitive developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,781Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI’s rapid iteration on its Kimi series, capped by the July 16, 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 (weights released July 27), drives current trader positioning for the next Kimi K model. The sparse MoE architecture with Kimi Delta Attention delivered frontier-level results—trailing only Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol overall while leading on front-end coding and select agentic benchmarks—while offering competitive pricing and a 1-million-token context window. Frequent prior releases (K2.5 in January, K2.6 in April, K2.7 Code in June) and China’s broader push in open-weight models reinforce expectations that Moonshot will continue the lineage ahead of rivals like DeepSeek. No confirmed timeline or competing “Kimi K” announcements exist as of early September 2026, leaving room for surprise shifts from regulatory or competitive developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$15,781Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s rapid iteration on its Kimi series, capped by the July 16, 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 (weights released July 27), drives current trader positioning for the next Kimi K model. The sparse MoE architecture with Kimi Delta Attention delivered frontier-level results—trailing only Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol overall while leading on front-end coding and select agentic benchmarks—while offering competitive pricing and a 1-million-token context window. Frequent prior releases (K2.5 in January, K2.6 in April, K2.7 Code in June) and China’s broader push in open-weight models reinforce expectations that Moonshot will continue the lineage ahead of rivals like DeepSeek. No confirmed timeline or competing “Kimi K” announcements exist as of early September 2026, leaving room for surprise shifts from regulatory or competitive developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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