Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 86% midway through May 2026, reflecting the absence of any triggering events under market rules, including no US-Iran permanent peace deal amid stalled diplomacy and ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, no Iranian leadership change, WTI crude oil remaining below $150 per barrel, no US military action against Cuba, no official US alien existence confirmation, and no Russian invasion of a NATO country. Recent developments, such as the House's third failed vote on Iran war powers resolution and routine Trump-Xi summit diplomacy, have reinforced stability without escalation. With 16 days left until May 31 resolution, high barriers to these low-probability scenarios sustain the odds, though sudden oil spikes or diplomatic breakthroughs could alter trader sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNothing Ever Happens: May
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Nothing
$84,801 Обс.
$84,801 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Nothing
$84,801 Обс.
$84,801 Обс.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 86% midway through May 2026, reflecting the absence of any triggering events under market rules, including no US-Iran permanent peace deal amid stalled diplomacy and ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, no Iranian leadership change, WTI crude oil remaining below $150 per barrel, no US military action against Cuba, no official US alien existence confirmation, and no Russian invasion of a NATO country. Recent developments, such as the House's third failed vote on Iran war powers resolution and routine Trump-Xi summit diplomacy, have reinforced stability without escalation. With 16 days left until May 31 resolution, high barriers to these low-probability scenarios sustain the odds, though sudden oil spikes or diplomatic breakthroughs could alter trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Обсяг
$84,801Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 86% midway through May 2026, reflecting the absence of any triggering events under market rules, including no US-Iran permanent peace deal amid stalled diplomacy and ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, no Iranian leadership change, WTI crude oil remaining below $150 per barrel, no US military action against Cuba, no official US alien existence confirmation, and no Russian invasion of a NATO country. Recent developments, such as the House's third failed vote on Iran war powers resolution and routine Trump-Xi summit diplomacy, have reinforced stability without escalation. With 16 days left until May 31 resolution, high barriers to these low-probability scenarios sustain the odds, though sudden oil spikes or diplomatic breakthroughs could alter trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Обсяг
$84,801Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 86% midway through May 2026, reflecting the absence of any triggering events under market rules, including no US-Iran permanent peace deal amid stalled diplomacy and ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, no Iranian leadership change, WTI crude oil remaining below $150 per barrel, no US military action against Cuba, no official US alien existence confirmation, and no Russian invasion of a NATO country. Recent developments, such as the House's third failed vote on Iran war powers resolution and routine Trump-Xi summit diplomacy, have reinforced stability without escalation. With 16 days left until May 31 resolution, high barriers to these low-probability scenarios sustain the odds, though sudden oil spikes or diplomatic breakthroughs could alter trader sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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