Skip to main content

May 19

May 22

May 26

May 19

May 22

May 26

20-39 70%

<20 21.4%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$10,081 Обс.

20-39 70%

<20 21.4%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$10,081 Обс.

<20

$2,529 Обс.

21%

20-39

$1,746 Обс.

74%

40-59

$501 Обс.

1%

60-79

$506 Обс.

1%

80-99

$571 Обс.

<1%

100-119

$473 Обс.

<1%

120-139

$766 Обс.

<1%

140-159

$785 Обс.

<1%

160-179

$766 Обс.

<1%

180-199

$822 Обс.

<1%

200+

$616 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani has sustained a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor account since taking office in January 2026, averaging three to five updates daily on policy announcements, housing initiatives, library funding, transit issues, and responses to local incidents. This established rhythm, drawn from his prior legislative experience and consistent use of social media as a governance tool, positions the 20-39 bracket as the dominant outcome among traders. No major escalations, campaign surges, or breaking events in the May 12-19 window have disrupted the pattern, keeping higher-volume scenarios at minimal implied probabilities while the lower bracket reflects only modest downside risk from routine variations.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$10,081
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 9, 2026, 1:29 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Mamdani has sustained a steady posting cadence on the official @NYCMayor account since taking office in January 2026, averaging three to five updates daily on policy announcements, housing initiatives, library funding, transit issues, and responses to local incidents. This established rhythm, drawn from his prior legislative experience and consistent use of social media as a governance tool, positions the 20-39 bracket as the dominant outcome among traders. No major escalations, campaign surges, or breaking events in the May 12-19 window have disrupted the pattern, keeping higher-volume scenarios at minimal implied probabilities while the lower bracket reflects only modest downside risk from routine variations.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$10,081
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 9, 2026, 1:29 AM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «20-39» з 74%, далі «<20» з 21%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?» згенерував $10.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 9, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?» — «20-39» з 74%. Наступний — «<20» з 21%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.