Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMark Smith 71%
Alex Pelbath 17%
Sam McCown 9.8%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.0%
$14,480 Обс.
$14,480 Обс.
Jun 9, 2026
Mark Smith
71%
Alex Pelbath
17%
Sam McCown
10%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
4%
Jay Byars
4%
Jack Ellison
2%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Justin Myers
1%
Dan Brown
1%
Mark Smith 71%
Alex Pelbath 17%
Sam McCown 9.8%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.0%
$14,480 Обс.
$14,480 Обс.
Jun 9, 2026
Mark Smith
$5,657 Обс.
71%
Alex Pelbath
$2,492 Обс.
17%
Sam McCown
$2,086 Обс.
10%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
$643 Обс.
4%
Jay Byars
$681 Обс.
4%
Jack Ellison
$945 Обс.
2%
Logan Cunningham
$733 Обс.
1%
Justin Myers
$603 Обс.
1%
Dan Brown
$641 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$14,480Дата завершення
Jun 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$14,480Дата завершення
Jun 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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