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SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

Mark Smith 70%

Alex Pelbath 13%

Sam McCown 10.7%

Jay Byars 4.0%

Polymarket

$14,480 Обс.

Mark Smith 70%

Alex Pelbath 13%

Sam McCown 10.7%

Jay Byars 4.0%

Polymarket

$14,480 Обс.

Mark Smith

$5,657 Обс.

70%

Alex Pelbath

$2,492 Обс.

19%

Sam McCown

$2,086 Обс.

11%

Jay Byars

$681 Обс.

4%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

$643 Обс.

3%

Jack Ellison

$945 Обс.

3%

Logan Cunningham

$733 Обс.

1%

Justin Myers

$603 Обс.

1%

Dan Brown

$641 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith has emerged as the clear frontrunner in the June 9 Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, an open seat created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign. Traders assign him a 70.5% implied probability, driven by his nearly $727,000 in fundraising through March and his record as a state representative from Berkeley County. A mid-April candidate forum straw poll showed Smith ahead at 34.1%, narrowly edging Alex Pelbath, a retired Air Force colonel emphasizing military service and Trump-aligned priorities who has raised roughly $365,000. Sam McCown and the remaining candidates trail in both fundraising and early voter attention within the nine-person field. Recent forums and grassroots events continue to shape positioning ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$14,480
Дата завершення
Jun 9, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith has emerged as the clear frontrunner in the June 9 Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, an open seat created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign. Traders assign him a 70.5% implied probability, driven by his nearly $727,000 in fundraising through March and his record as a state representative from Berkeley County. A mid-April candidate forum straw poll showed Smith ahead at 34.1%, narrowly edging Alex Pelbath, a retired Air Force colonel emphasizing military service and Trump-aligned priorities who has raised roughly $365,000. Sam McCown and the remaining candidates trail in both fundraising and early voter attention within the nine-person field. Recent forums and grassroots events continue to shape positioning ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$14,480
Дата завершення
Jun 9, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«SC-01 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Mark Smith» з 70%, далі «Alex Pelbath» з 19%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «SC-01 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $14.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 18, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «SC-01 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «SC-01 Republican Primary Winner» — «Mark Smith» з 70%. Наступний — «Alex Pelbath» з 19%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «SC-01 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.