PSOE maintains a commanding position in Catalonia for the November 29 general election, with polls projecting 18–19 seats out of 48, well ahead of ERC, PP, Vox, and Junts. This edge stems from the party's established regional base under the PSC label, sustained voter support in key provinces like Barcelona, and the absence of major recent shifts that would erode its lead. National trends favoring the PP have not translated into comparable gains in Catalonia, where historical voting patterns and local dynamics continue to favor the socialists. A late consolidation among pro-independence parties or unusually high turnout for rivals could narrow the margin, though current evidence points to limited scope for such reversals before election day.
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