Recent polls show Donald Trump's approval rating declining to 33% in a Reuters/Ipsos survey released around August 18, down from 35% earlier in the month and matching his lowest levels from the first term, amid ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, higher gas prices, and inflation concerns. Aggregators place the rating near 35-38% as of mid-August 2026, with partisan gaps remaining wide and modest erosion among Republicans. The tight distribution of probabilities across bins near 37-39 reflects this recent volatility, stable but low historical averages during the second term, and limited time before August 28 for major new catalysts to emerge ahead of November midterms. Any diplomatic developments on Iran or economic data releases could shift the final reading within the narrow window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено<37.0 45%
37.0–37.4 45%
37.5–37.9 45%
38.0–38.4 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
<37.0
45%
37.0–37.4
45%
37.5–37.9
45%
38.0–38.4
45%
38.5–38.9
45%
39.0+
43%
<37.0 45%
37.0–37.4 45%
37.5–37.9 45%
38.0–38.4 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
<37.0
$0 Обс.
45%
37.0–37.4
$0 Обс.
45%
37.5–37.9
$0 Обс.
45%
38.0–38.4
$0 Обс.
45%
38.5–38.9
$0 Обс.
45%
39.0+
$10 Обс.
43%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls show Donald Trump's approval rating declining to 33% in a Reuters/Ipsos survey released around August 18, down from 35% earlier in the month and matching his lowest levels from the first term, amid ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, higher gas prices, and inflation concerns. Aggregators place the rating near 35-38% as of mid-August 2026, with partisan gaps remaining wide and modest erosion among Republicans. The tight distribution of probabilities across bins near 37-39 reflects this recent volatility, stable but low historical averages during the second term, and limited time before August 28 for major new catalysts to emerge ahead of November midterms. Any diplomatic developments on Iran or economic data releases could shift the final reading within the narrow window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls show Donald Trump's approval rating declining to 33% in a Reuters/Ipsos survey released around August 18, down from 35% earlier in the month and matching his lowest levels from the first term, amid ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, higher gas prices, and inflation concerns. Aggregators place the rating near 35-38% as of mid-August 2026, with partisan gaps remaining wide and modest erosion among Republicans. The tight distribution of probabilities across bins near 37-39 reflects this recent volatility, stable but low historical averages during the second term, and limited time before August 28 for major new catalysts to emerge ahead of November midterms. Any diplomatic developments on Iran or economic data releases could shift the final reading within the narrow window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$10Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show Donald Trump's approval rating declining to 33% in a Reuters/Ipsos survey released around August 18, down from 35% earlier in the month and matching his lowest levels from the first term, amid ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, higher gas prices, and inflation concerns. Aggregators place the rating near 35-38% as of mid-August 2026, with partisan gaps remaining wide and modest erosion among Republicans. The tight distribution of probabilities across bins near 37-39 reflects this recent volatility, stable but low historical averages during the second term, and limited time before August 28 for major new catalysts to emerge ahead of November midterms. Any diplomatic developments on Iran or economic data releases could shift the final reading within the narrow window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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