Trump’s second-term approach to artificial intelligence has centered on accelerating U.S. leadership through deregulation, infrastructure support, and preemption of state-level rules, while addressing national-security risks from advanced models. Early actions in 2025 revoked prior regulatory frameworks and directed agencies to challenge inconsistent state laws. In June 2026, the administration issued an executive order establishing a voluntary 30-day pre-release review process for frontier AI models focused on cybersecurity vulnerabilities, alongside directives to harden federal and critical-infrastructure networks and prioritize enforcement against AI-enabled cybercrime. An earlier draft with a longer review window was withdrawn after industry concerns about competitiveness. These steps reflect ongoing calibration between security priorities and innovation goals, with implementation deadlines extending into late 2026 and potential legislative follow-up on a national framework.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
3%
October 31
13%
December 31
47%
$963 Обс.
September 30
$850 Обс.
3%
October 31
$66 Обс.
13%
December 31
$47 Обс.
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump’s second-term approach to artificial intelligence has centered on accelerating U.S. leadership through deregulation, infrastructure support, and preemption of state-level rules, while addressing national-security risks from advanced models. Early actions in 2025 revoked prior regulatory frameworks and directed agencies to challenge inconsistent state laws. In June 2026, the administration issued an executive order establishing a voluntary 30-day pre-release review process for frontier AI models focused on cybersecurity vulnerabilities, alongside directives to harden federal and critical-infrastructure networks and prioritize enforcement against AI-enabled cybercrime. An earlier draft with a longer review window was withdrawn after industry concerns about competitiveness. These steps reflect ongoing calibration between security priorities and innovation goals, with implementation deadlines extending into late 2026 and potential legislative follow-up on a national framework.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$963Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump’s second-term approach to artificial intelligence has centered on accelerating U.S. leadership through deregulation, infrastructure support, and preemption of state-level rules, while addressing national-security risks from advanced models. Early actions in 2025 revoked prior regulatory frameworks and directed agencies to challenge inconsistent state laws. In June 2026, the administration issued an executive order establishing a voluntary 30-day pre-release review process for frontier AI models focused on cybersecurity vulnerabilities, alongside directives to harden federal and critical-infrastructure networks and prioritize enforcement against AI-enabled cybercrime. An earlier draft with a longer review window was withdrawn after industry concerns about competitiveness. These steps reflect ongoing calibration between security priorities and innovation goals, with implementation deadlines extending into late 2026 and potential legislative follow-up on a national framework.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$963Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Trump’s second-term approach to artificial intelligence has centered on accelerating U.S. leadership through deregulation, infrastructure support, and preemption of state-level rules, while addressing national-security risks from advanced models. Early actions in 2025 revoked prior regulatory frameworks and directed agencies to challenge inconsistent state laws. In June 2026, the administration issued an executive order establishing a voluntary 30-day pre-release review process for frontier AI models focused on cybersecurity vulnerabilities, alongside directives to harden federal and critical-infrastructure networks and prioritize enforcement against AI-enabled cybercrime. An earlier draft with a longer review window was withdrawn after industry concerns about competitiveness. These steps reflect ongoing calibration between security priorities and innovation goals, with implementation deadlines extending into late 2026 and potential legislative follow-up on a national framework.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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