Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress represent the central structural barrier to removal, as demonstrated by the September 15, 2026, House vote tabling a Democratic impeachment resolution on immigration enforcement by 232-147. No sustained 25th Amendment process has advanced, and public reporting shows no resignation signals or health-related incapacity concerns. President Trump continues active governance, including recent executive actions on immigration, tariffs, and AI policy, alongside preparations for the November 2026 midterms. These factors underpin trader consensus that the probability of permanent exit via resignation, removal, or other means before January 1, 2027, remains in the low single digits.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
6% шанс
$11,771,858 Обс.
$11,771,858 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Так
6% шанс
$11,771,858 Обс.
$11,771,858 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress represent the central structural barrier to removal, as demonstrated by the September 15, 2026, House vote tabling a Democratic impeachment resolution on immigration enforcement by 232-147. No sustained 25th Amendment process has advanced, and public reporting shows no resignation signals or health-related incapacity concerns. President Trump continues active governance, including recent executive actions on immigration, tariffs, and AI policy, alongside preparations for the November 2026 midterms. These factors underpin trader consensus that the probability of permanent exit via resignation, removal, or other means before January 1, 2027, remains in the low single digits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$11,771,858Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress represent the central structural barrier to removal, as demonstrated by the September 15, 2026, House vote tabling a Democratic impeachment resolution on immigration enforcement by 232-147. No sustained 25th Amendment process has advanced, and public reporting shows no resignation signals or health-related incapacity concerns. President Trump continues active governance, including recent executive actions on immigration, tariffs, and AI policy, alongside preparations for the November 2026 midterms. These factors underpin trader consensus that the probability of permanent exit via resignation, removal, or other means before January 1, 2027, remains in the low single digits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$11,771,968Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress represent the central structural barrier to removal, as demonstrated by the September 15, 2026, House vote tabling a Democratic impeachment resolution on immigration enforcement by 232-147. No sustained 25th Amendment process has advanced, and public reporting shows no resignation signals or health-related incapacity concerns. President Trump continues active governance, including recent executive actions on immigration, tariffs, and AI policy, alongside preparations for the November 2026 midterms. These factors underpin trader consensus that the probability of permanent exit via resignation, removal, or other means before January 1, 2027, remains in the low single digits.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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