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Політика·Первинні

TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner

Christian Menefee 90.1%

Al Green 10.3%

Gretchen Brown <1%

Amanda Edwards <1%

Polymarket

$27,863 Обс.

Christian Menefee 90.1%

Al Green 10.3%

Gretchen Brown <1%

Amanda Edwards <1%

Polymarket

$27,863 Обс.

Christian Menefee

$16,712 Обс.

90%

Al Green

$4,866 Обс.

10%

Gretchen Brown

$3,570 Обс.

<1%

Amanda Edwards

$2,716 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the Texas 18th Congressional District Democratic primary runoff heavily favors Christian Menefee at 90% implied probability over Al Green, reflecting his momentum following the March 3 first-round results where Menefee led 46%-44% and advanced alongside the longtime incumbent from the neighboring district. A May 12 University of Houston poll shows Menefee ahead 50%-43%, with advantages among Latino and white voters, a tie among Black voters, and dominance in Harris County—home to three-quarters of the electorate—plus crossover support from eliminated candidate Amanda Edwards. Recent debates underscored policy alignments on voting rights, but Menefee's special election victory and prosecutorial record as former Harris County attorney sustain his edge ahead of the May 26 runoff, though high Fort Bend County turnout for Green could narrow the gap. Early voting starts May 18.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$27,863
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the Texas 18th Congressional District Democratic primary runoff heavily favors Christian Menefee at 90% implied probability over Al Green, reflecting his momentum following the March 3 first-round results where Menefee led 46%-44% and advanced alongside the longtime incumbent from the neighboring district. A May 12 University of Houston poll shows Menefee ahead 50%-43%, with advantages among Latino and white voters, a tie among Black voters, and dominance in Harris County—home to three-quarters of the electorate—plus crossover support from eliminated candidate Amanda Edwards. Recent debates underscored policy alignments on voting rights, but Menefee's special election victory and prosecutorial record as former Harris County attorney sustain his edge ahead of the May 26 runoff, though high Fort Bend County turnout for Green could narrow the gap. Early voting starts May 18.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$27,863
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Christian Menefee» з 90%, далі «Al Green» з 10%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $27.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 4, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Christian Menefee» з 90%. Наступний — «Al Green» з 10%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.