Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican following post-2020 redistricting. The open seat, created by Wesley Hunt's retirement to pursue a Senate bid, saw Republican Jon Bonck secure the nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos, bolstered by Trump endorsement and fundraising advantages. Democratic candidates including Melissa McDonough face structural barriers in this suburban Houston district, where partisan voting index and historical results favor the GOP nominee by wide margins. Traders price the Republican outcome at 82.5 percent to reflect these entrenched factors, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape before the general election ballot is finalized.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$20,197 Обс.
$20,197 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
14%
$20,197 Обс.
$20,197 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$13,009 Обс.
85%
Democratic Party
$7,188 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican following post-2020 redistricting. The open seat, created by Wesley Hunt's retirement to pursue a Senate bid, saw Republican Jon Bonck secure the nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos, bolstered by Trump endorsement and fundraising advantages. Democratic candidates including Melissa McDonough face structural barriers in this suburban Houston district, where partisan voting index and historical results favor the GOP nominee by wide margins. Traders price the Republican outcome at 82.5 percent to reflect these entrenched factors, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape before the general election ballot is finalized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$20,197Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican following post-2020 redistricting. The open seat, created by Wesley Hunt's retirement to pursue a Senate bid, saw Republican Jon Bonck secure the nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos, bolstered by Trump endorsement and fundraising advantages. Democratic candidates including Melissa McDonough face structural barriers in this suburban Houston district, where partisan voting index and historical results favor the GOP nominee by wide margins. Traders price the Republican outcome at 82.5 percent to reflect these entrenched factors, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape before the general election ballot is finalized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$20,197Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican following post-2020 redistricting. The open seat, created by Wesley Hunt's retirement to pursue a Senate bid, saw Republican Jon Bonck secure the nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos, bolstered by Trump endorsement and fundraising advantages. Democratic candidates including Melissa McDonough face structural barriers in this suburban Houston district, where partisan voting index and historical results favor the GOP nominee by wide margins. Traders price the Republican outcome at 82.5 percent to reflect these entrenched factors, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape before the general election ballot is finalized.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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